Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 1, 2020

August 1, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Talking Zip 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 R H Smoakem 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Unscathed 1.60 2.7 5-1
1 1 Seba’s Dancer 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Nyoman 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Speared 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fixico 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Shaw 1.40 1.8 3-1
3 3 To the Bank 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Medal of Fact 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Coming Up Aces 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Suprise Cat 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Dreaming 1.40 2 4-1
3 3 Quarterback Dak 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Red Hot Devil 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 John’s Rock 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 High Heater 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Rip It Ryan 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lapis Storm 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Way to Success 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Kissmeonemoretime 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lemon Drop Twist 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Superstar Diva 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 B N a Native Girl 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Of Note 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Crazy Sexy Munny 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Cholla 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Darlin Rosie 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Chainmail 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Looktheotherway 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Wildwood Scat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sky Freak 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 2 Kuringai 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 No Time to Play 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Countess St Michel 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Heart’s Passion 30.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Kingsbury Dream 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Romantic Attack 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Probably Grace 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 You Split Tens 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Fade Away 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 7 Big Money Machine 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Splash for Gold 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Dollar Blue 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Angelino 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 First Masamune 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 Honest to Goodness 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tre Lee Divine 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Dom the Bomb 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mr D’s Way 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Weiland 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Two Pair 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Flyingbyu 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mutakddim Road 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Tio Chuy 30.00 5 10-1
1 1 El Caminante 30.00 5.7 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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