July 31, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stylish Rags | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pazzion | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Break | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doyouknowwhoiam | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bella Nicole | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krubera | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dash to the Top | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Brush Country | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Getoffmyback | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zonic | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missle Bomb | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Business Cycle | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vincero | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Mist | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O Shea Can U See | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sursum Corda | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prairie Wings | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sengekontacket | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Mo | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Empire Lady | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Champagne Diet | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wicked Happy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simply Sweet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Liza Star | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pacific Gale | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady T N T | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unholy Alliance | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What a Fox | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Silent Empress | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Imincomunicado | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sandra’s Mine | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Love Me Tomorrow | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | High School Crush | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Red Button | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devils Rendezvous | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Menzamenz | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Nikki’s Dream | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Excited Feeling | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vinita | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dream Chasing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wall Eye | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Vinda Machine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Funny Pursuit | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cobble Hill | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jerome Avenue | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empire Line | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zealous | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cause of Action | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cavaradossi | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapizearance | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Rule | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blanket of Roses | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Beat Brian | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dynadrive | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Me and Mr. C | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pepper Pike | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Ranch | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vintage Kitten | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Future Book | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbyfromthepalm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gravitas | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Villainous | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Icy Dude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Jewel of Arabia | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Flashpackinbarbie | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Scones | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Classy Sadie | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fair Lassie | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shesasuperfreak | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Sophia | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ruvies in Time | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thea’s Theme | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wailin Josie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Coronation Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | She’s My Type (FR) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bredenbury (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Artie’s Princess | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Miss J McKay | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Fly So Pretty | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shippy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lexi On the Move | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always Inthe Munny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Karak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Come Storming | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lido Key | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Corey Scores | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Leeway | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Breeze | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ocean Fire | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princess Fawzia | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sterling Beauty | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roziere | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strike Magic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild North | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.