July 31, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Will Dancer | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Impression | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Little No Way | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conquest Lemonraid | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lead Star | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artie B Good | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Cielo d’Oro | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’m the Boss of Me | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gravitron | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Saylee | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Canoodling | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mandragora Seeker | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Mo | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queens Map | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ready Jet Go | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Brilliant Cut | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bonus Fever | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Angel Creek | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Althea Gibson | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberalism | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Star Heat | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elgofranco | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m So Adorable | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Dancing | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Treasure | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seeking Refuge | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tromador | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Descartes | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgian Road | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honos Man | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All American Hero | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Happier | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Himiko | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | This Tea | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unbreakable | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Last First Kiss | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Queen of Aces | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Brandons Danger | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Via Angelica | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | La V. | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lookintogeteven | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiberius Mercurius | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Daddy Go | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salvator Mundi | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sicilia (GB) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swamp Souffle | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocky Tough | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silenced | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Synthesis | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Square Deal | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cali Dude | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brickyard Ride | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Fire | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quick Finish | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribal War Chant | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Appreciated | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rinse and Repeat | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Paytience | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silken Prince | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Madone | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s a Lil Flirt | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ivy League | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Basilia | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Floral Essence | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamma Rama | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Princess Ellie | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Rithms | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Koko’s Mom | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Real Good Deal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | El Tigre Terrible | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clayton Delaney | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rookie Mistake | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margot’s Boy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Boss | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Rejoyce | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lightning Fast | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Huge Bigly | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | K P D Day | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tembo | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Montana Moon | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exhort | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exeter | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Railsplitter | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Palace Prince | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Musketier | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infatuate | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Luck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Count | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Juror | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Western Smoke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Diva | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love of Art (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paige Runner | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atina (ARG) | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond of Value | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | She Began Again | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whoa Nessie | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Perfection | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookout Taylor | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drop the Mic | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Poco Suenos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | At the Margin | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.