July 30, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mammoth | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Sergeant Azer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catty Lad | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goofy Boy | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mamaigotthis | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | David’s Prospec | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bolter | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Berry Hill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Keeping the Peace | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Americano | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expect Drama | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grosco (MEX) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pharaoh’s City | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Royal | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Da Winner Is | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Field Advantage | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Epic (ARG) | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cloontia | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brooklyn Speights | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Black Prong | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Asset Allocation | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rock Solid Golfer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Atreyu | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Totalitario | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Late Breaking News | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bonkers | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Answered | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pago Querido | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dare to Try | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peace With Honor | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barbara Gordon | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Release Me | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quality too Spare | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Margie’s Money | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fillupcohensapiker | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Bella Rossa | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Not Leaving | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Ann | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming Diamonds | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Don’t Dare Me | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Full Dinner Jacket | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenny Had a Notion | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz Golden | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fausto Gold | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tio Juan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Mo | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shrew Meaning | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lively Kitten | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broad Storm | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noble Intentions | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Muskoka | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pride Leader | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Sniveling | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Karsavina | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ocean Delight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cardcounter | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfetto | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kingston Pike | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No More Talk | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shaft of Light | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phish Fan | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Word of Truth | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.