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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 27, 2020

July 27, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Velvet Queen 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Harvest Moon 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Tiz Wonderfully 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Great Return 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 5 Shanghai Truffles 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mongolian Window 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gallovie (GB) 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Muchly (GB) 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Zest 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Gypsy Spirit (GB) 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Quick (GB) 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Miss Flawless (FR) 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Saints Paynter 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Lavender (IRE) 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Awesome Amanda 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Real Good Deal 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Thunder Woman 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 La Croix 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Midnight Garden 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Musically 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Boolicious 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Sindy’s Revenge 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sherilinda 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Flying Business 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rio Ocho (IRE) 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Comradery (IRE) 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Munnings’ Pilot 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Power Source (IRE) 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 No Slo Mo 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Inch 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Dominant Soul 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Capital Call 5.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Cosmo 8.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Newell 30.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Oculus 30.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Hollywoodhellraisr 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Form A Square (GB) 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 War Path 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 South Beach Gal 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Apache Pass 8.00 3.4 7-1
11 11 Little Miss Ellie 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Candy’s Honey 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Approved for Flyby 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Hot Chicken 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Ole Silver 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Mountain Pass 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Jan Jan Can 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Va Va Voom 8.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Warren’s Empress 15.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Too Hot for Curlin 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hootie 3.50 2.9 5-1
11 9 Worthy Turk 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Kylemore 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Ocean Fury 4.00 6.2 12-1
13 11 French Getaway 3.00 6.5 12-1
10 8 Erotic 15.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Pubilius Syrus 12.00 6.9 13-1
12 10 The Creep 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Never Easy 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Stay Golden 30.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Contagion 8.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Conquest Lemonraid 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Captivate 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mithqaal 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hapi Hapi 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Negotiator 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Most Sandisfactory 2.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Drink to That 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 World Affairs 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Kazansky 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 My Sunshine 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Ultimate Mystery 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Twirling Derby 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Ziyanair 15.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Agent Zero 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bigfoot City 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mesut 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 King of Speed 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Maestro Dearte 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Untamed Domain 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Gregorian Chant (GB) 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Fight On 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Order and Law 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 A Melis 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Li’l Grazen 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Warm Summer 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Anna Fantastic 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Give Me a Hint 6.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Silk From Heaven 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Hot On the Trail 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Stormin Ranger 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Clearly Gone 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Rockie Causeway 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Empress of Fire 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tsunami Spring 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Capital Heat 12.00 5 9-1
10 10 Elegant Silk 12.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Lakaya 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Big Time Grammy 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Cassie Belle 4.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Rose’s Crystal 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 From Jamesto Jamie 30.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Zahra 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 New Heat 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Cheerful Charm 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shez Our Arch 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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