July 27, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Velvet Queen | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Harvest Moon | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Tiz Wonderfully | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Great Return | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Shanghai Truffles | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Mongolian Window | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Gallovie (GB) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Muchly (GB) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Zest | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Quick (GB) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Saints Paynter | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Lavender (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Awesome Amanda | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Real Good Deal | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
10 | 9 | Thunder Woman | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | La Croix | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Midnight Garden | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Musically | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Boolicious | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sindy’s Revenge | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sherilinda | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Flying Business | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Rio Ocho (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Comradery (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Munnings’ Pilot | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Power Source (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | No Slo Mo | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Inch | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Dominant Soul | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Capital Call | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Cosmo | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | Newell | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | Oculus | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
12 | 12 | Hollywoodhellraisr | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Form A Square (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | War Path | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | South Beach Gal | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Apache Pass | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
11 | 11 | Little Miss Ellie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
10 | 10 | Candy’s Honey | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Approved for Flyby | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Hot Chicken | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Ole Silver | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Mountain Pass | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Jan Jan Can | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | Va Va Voom | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
2 | 2 | Warren’s Empress | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
12 | 12 | Too Hot for Curlin | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Hootie | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
11 | 9 | Worthy Turk | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Kylemore | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ocean Fury | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
13 | 11 | French Getaway | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
10 | 8 | Erotic | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Pubilius Syrus | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
12 | 10 | The Creep | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Never Easy | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Stay Golden | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
7 | 7 | Contagion | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Conquest Lemonraid | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Captivate | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Mithqaal | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Hapi Hapi | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Negotiator | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Most Sandisfactory | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Drink to That | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | World Affairs | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Kazansky | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
11 | 11 | My Sunshine | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ultimate Mystery | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Twirling Derby | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Ziyanair | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
10 | 10 | Agent Zero | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Bigfoot City | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Mesut | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | King of Speed | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Maestro Dearte | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Untamed Domain | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Fight On | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Order and Law | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | A Melis | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Li’l Grazen | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Warm Summer | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Anna Fantastic | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Give Me a Hint | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Silk From Heaven | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Hot On the Trail | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Stormin Ranger | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Clearly Gone | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 13 | Rockie Causeway | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Empress of Fire | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Tsunami Spring | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
11 | 11 | Capital Heat | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | Elegant Silk | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
12 | 12 | Lakaya | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Big Time Grammy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cassie Belle | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Rose’s Crystal | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | From Jamesto Jamie | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Zahra | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | New Heat | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cheerful Charm | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Shez Our Arch | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.