July 25, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gone Rogue | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Talker | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caisson | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rombauer | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flint Stroll | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ingest | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dyn O Mite | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Falcons Fury | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Smiling Tiger S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Vertical Threat | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ragtime Blues | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Howbeit | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annie’s Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dark Vader | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kershaw | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unbroken Star | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lambeau | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Potantico | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Endeavor | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pepe Tono | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loud Mouth | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Provocation | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Keeper | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Lubie | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merneith | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affianced | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High On Gin | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Ebby | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Point | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Never Be Enough (GB) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unicorn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sutro | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kookie Gal | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woodfin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imperial Creed | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clockstrikestwelve | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quinnie | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Hot Box | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wedding Groom | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Call Sign Lucky | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Father O’Flaherty | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dennis Celery | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C’Mon Jenna | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Proud Musket | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Broken Finger | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Magnificent Red | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Govenor Bernstein | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mystery Man | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tilted Towers | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Absolute Unit | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling the Gold | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Acting Cat | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Much More Halo | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiftyfive Chevy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highly Distorted | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Sprout | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Chapin | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Candy Fury | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colossal Storm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Itsthattime | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Promise | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Cat | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Octopus | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zimba Warrior | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drippin Sauce | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Promise Nothing | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Final | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Agamemnon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Antithetical | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – San Clemente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s So Special | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laura’s Light | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over Attracted | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Warren’s Showtime | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guitty (FR) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheermeister | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Applecross (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Bird (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lazy Daisy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mind Out | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – San Diego H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midcourt | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ax Man | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Power | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Combatant | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maximum Security | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Samurai | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nice Ice | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Warrior’s Moon | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Rose | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassyserb | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Pretty Woman | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peace Pipe | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Charmingslew | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kristi’s Tiger | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nocherylikemychery | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodtingscominpink | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hot On the Trail | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Harper’s Gallop | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ruby Bradley | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Magnificent Q T | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.