July 24, 2020 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet’s Song | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wishes and Dreams | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hands Up | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quantum Computing | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Assume | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vitanza | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Embrace a New Day | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shine Like Bobby | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Overtime Olivia | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kinky Sox | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hetty G. | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Movie Score | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Little Honey | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party in the Sand | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Kitten | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peaceful | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkling Sky | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Me Mo My | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henni Penny | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stop War | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voting Agreement | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Amber | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blunt Force | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malarkey | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Fond | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Loyalty | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Bird | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whyisshesoolucky | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Samborella | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Going Going Gone | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raffinity | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Party At Page’s | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Constitution | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Shuffle | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dorothy’s Star | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Mo’ Spending | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shanes Pretty Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ebony (FR) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coilean Bawn | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cap de Creus | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Lucky | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elle M’a Souri (FR) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overjoyed | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Mo Temper | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happycrest | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Quantitativbreezin | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Snicket | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Magnolia’s Lady | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Cake | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Kaz’s Princess | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Towering Gaze | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Hey It’s Tati | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Della Lute | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robin Sparkles | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Munnings Muse | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vivazano | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mount Travers | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zoomer | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Free Enterprise | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cerretalto | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chateau | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strike That | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ready to Escape | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hawaiian Noises | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Lute | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Quick Call S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jack and Noah (FR) | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Turned Aside | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Chestnut | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fore Left | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flap Jack | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Cruise | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky of Hook | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Power Up Paynter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aintitfunkynow | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Operative | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mommie’s Jewel | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bricco | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Primo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nero’s Fiddle | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Idol | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lorcan | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frozen Account | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yah Huh | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Senor Phelps | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shared Success | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | K. K. Ichikawa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Postmaster | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Royal Suspect | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Joe | 50.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.