July 23, 2020 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wildwood Maggie | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Better Than Pearls | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laura Attack | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shez Stuck Up | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta B the Salsa | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lipliner | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Givin Up None | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Hit | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ugo | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Lighted Road | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Romeo | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocket Ride | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Richie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rosie Bear | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bit Money | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kiana’s Love | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Hey | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Field Letters | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildwood Scat | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valiant Lady | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Ed’s Rocket | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mind Trappe | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hurricane Highway | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Trappe Valley | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tough Stuff | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knockyourblockoff | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Good Bye Greg | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Dom Caetano (ARG) | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | U S Delta Force | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toddles | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Huey Attack | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaliningrad | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off to the Beach | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | World Tax War (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Classic Sky | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Point | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gorgeous George | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Welovecandy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riv | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongol Bull | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do Not Enter | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giacallure | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Splash for Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | P H Factor | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dollar Blue | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Creek | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | And Won | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High Heater | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Cactus | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tornado Boy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bizzee Channel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sequins Storm | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wellfield | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tres Generaciones | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crankshaft | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bold Attack | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jeggyjeggy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Libor Plus | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jimmy At Last | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chipollino | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unbridled Ruler | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Prince | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.