July 17, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fabozzi | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Cobra | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Italiano | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rickey B | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heartfullofstars | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Concur | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rockie Causeway | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Chica | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get’em Tiger | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tsunami Spring | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Gata Elegante | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Time Grammy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Heat | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ride Sally Ride | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lakaya | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Family | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pasito | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Empress | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manresa | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Billy K | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Samandah | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destiny’s Journey | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bennet | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Establish Justice | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Prevails | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Empress of Fire | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cassie Belle | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On Mars | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose’s Crystal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheerful Charm | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nina En Fuego | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zahra | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Star Heat | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | From Jamesto Jamie | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Heat | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Sky | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Garden | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why the Long Face | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Amanda | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sherilinda | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Woman | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sindy’s Revenge | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Musically | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Business | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boolicious | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Never Be Enough (GB) | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unicorn | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woodfin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Point | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kookie Gal | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sutro | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imperial Creed | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quinnie | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clockstrikestwelve | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | World Affairs | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Most Sandisfactory | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beaumont Beaux | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hapi Hapi | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Mystery | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Premier League | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Negotiator | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kazansky | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Speaker | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ziyanair | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Santiago’s Tower | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mesut | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Heatwave | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Border Town | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maestro Dearte | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Speed | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Order and Law | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Approved for Flyby | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz a Unicorn | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | South Beach Gal | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Miss Ellie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Va Va Voom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Hot for Curlin | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Livin’ At the Bu | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mountain Pass | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Chicken | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Candy’s Honey | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Empress | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jan Jan Can | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Game Plan | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cameo Shores | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.