July 12, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eagle in the Sky | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ingest | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finding Silver | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good With People | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Fish | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Investment Account | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Lion | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Claws | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Ghost | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Buzz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dubby Dubbie | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kazan (IRE) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Element | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | East Rand | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Move Over (GB) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Dehydration | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jewel Thief | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Queen of the Track | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wishful | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hot On the Trail | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dorita’s Lemon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Richards Bello | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cal’s Gem | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caerulean | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Count Alexei | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stir the Pot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spud | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foothill | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | King Arthur | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Ryan | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bona Fortuna | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Socks | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luvluv | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | El Chapin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Paul L | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Street Behavior | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Poise to Strike | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bedrock | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strike It Lucky | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Street Image | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Finally Got a Red | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Tenga | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Osunitas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Super Patriot | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ziarah (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cordiality | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Blame Judy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sedamar | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Oasis (GB) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meal Ticket | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colavito | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Zinger | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What’s Up Surfer | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Teton Valley | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rantanen | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Detective Bernardo | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Colombian Gold | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | California Kook | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Lark (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Royalty (GB) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Going to Vegas | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucia’s Design | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mylittlerunaway | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beguiled | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carpe Vinum | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonhall Milly (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kustom for Karl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Applecross (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kneedeepinsnow | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am the Danger | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blameitonthelaw | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Principe Carlo | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Dad | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P R Radio Star | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fight On | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unusually Handsome | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shadrack | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jetovator | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sea of Liberty | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Push Through | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ostini | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Posterize | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rustic Canyon | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Eddie | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Doughnut | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fly the Sky | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Incredible Luck | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bench Judge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.