July 10, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wilshire Dude | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blame It On Kitty | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Touch | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fire When Ready | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Hombre | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Huerfano | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Hunter | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camino de Estrella | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samskara (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Road Rager | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seaside Dancer | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rakassah (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mean Sophia | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Notre Dame | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlito | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Mystery | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rayray | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garth | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Fury | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Table for Ten | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cali Caliente | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fravel | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammering Lemon | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gambini | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Roar | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tropical Terror | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ronamo | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zorich | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Wind | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dia de Pago | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Hero | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Claim of Passion | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bud Knight | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Show Business | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taming the Tigress | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Game | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Andy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luxury Liner | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Righteously | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothlikebuttah | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Warrens Candy Girl | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valentine Ghost | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jerseys Big Girl | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miz Lola La Dare | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Strike At Dawn | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maxim Rate | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Return | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellie Arroway | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pulpit Rider | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Our Charm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Zee Drop | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dreams of Valor | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Make It a Triple | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St. Joe Bay | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Fast | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silken Prince | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appreciated | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alleva | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sash (GB) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Runhappy Oceanside S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kanderel | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizamagician | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silardi | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ajourneytofreedom | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hit the Road | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | K P All Systems Go | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Tigre Terrible | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Margot’s Boy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heywoods Beach | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Leaving You | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rookie Mistake | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howbeit | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Valor | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Knifes Edge | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Hedges | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Castle Gate | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Julius | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jen Go Unchained | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little No Way | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tobacco Road | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Oxen | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artie B Good | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled’s Skye | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.