July 10, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | King of Miami | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pitaman | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blame the Booze | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Centavo | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Takecareyallchickn | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlett Sky | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bitumen | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field of Courage | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fox Red | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Business Cycle | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Vicar’s Legend | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thousand Percent | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Outrageous Bet | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Direct Order | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banana Thief | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | War Stroll | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Duncastle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dirty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Fulfill | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Buona Fina | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heirloom Kitten | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Road Home | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Little Mazzy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tipazo | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Seediskid | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Primitive Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | John Want Revenge | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Striking Speed | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malarkey | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Mischief | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Jak | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camorra | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Zecha | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Last Million | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9A | 9 | First Forever | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starlite Mission | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Bossy Bride | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Beauty | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Overheated | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | First Dawn | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild North | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Happycrest | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leeway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Strike Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kitten by the Sea | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Princess Fawzia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Voice of Spring | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robin Sparkles | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bonus Baby | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vivazano | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jewel of Arabia | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love That Face | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blitchton Lady | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masterof the Tunes | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Domenica | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steal My Heart | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gracetown | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Annie | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brass Ring | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Spring Drama | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Makin’ Out | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ok Honey | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tiz a Kitten | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Real Doozie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sister Emily | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Merlins Muse | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Noble Jewel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Roman City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Our Last Buck | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not That Brady | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Doups Point | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winston’s Chance | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Big Mountain | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Twisted Tom | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Foolish Ghost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | I Love Jaxson | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Durkin’s Call | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pipes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gold Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Long Weekend | 0.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wondrwherecraigis | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Newstome | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Listentoyourheart | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hopeful Treasure | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Liam’s Pride | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Premier Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tiny Magoo | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | She So Naughty | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Fusi | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Big Red Girl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Adorable Maya | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wall Eye | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Vinda Machine | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mind of Gold | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Idaka | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nikki’s Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Running On Entry | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Little Red Button | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Silent Empress | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Frenchie Frou Frou | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Magical Romance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Painite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.