July 5, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Strawfly Follies | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rm Misseasywagon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jadas Dasher | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trs Jessa Little Ali | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Lippy | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brins Koollilokey | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Day of Favor | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hollyhook | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Sweet Step | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pollitical Game | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Storm | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flight to La Jolla | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going to Hollywood | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Jessie | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One Famous Casanova | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hail Yez Darlin | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iris Cowboy Casanova | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racy Kacey | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Onesweettalker | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ridley On the Run | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ushouldbehere | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kornfusion | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paint Fast | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indawin | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bid for Power | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Rockstar | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shackadelic | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Butyoucalledme | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unburnt | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Red White and Loud | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Galaxy’s Wildcat | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Browdy Boy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Justa Streak | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kris Me Deadly | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Songster | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Rog | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sayua | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stunning One | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Ten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Velva’s Legacy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Palette | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Helfast Girl | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I’m Nasty Too | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Maker | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | My Golden Day | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Storm Fury | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Red Noon Rising | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire to Rain | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Welder | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Saturday | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | D’ Rapper | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Cicatriz | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shashashakemeup | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billy Batts | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prodigious Bay | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acre | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Letmeno | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hondo Lane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Iowa Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strong Flag | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aurelia Garland | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dynasty of Her Own | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Speed | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Breeze | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lagoon Falls | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Bridget | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Prairie Meadows Cornhusker H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dunph | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Night Ops | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheriff Brown | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rated R Superstar | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Sixth Sense | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Anthony | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Downtowner | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sonny Smack | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Net Gain | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Major Perfection | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | October Sky | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Am Ready Again | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Bullet | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orange | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s No Saint | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touch ‘Em Up | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light Bound Bid | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.