July 4, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mohemian Rhapsody | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet and Cheeky | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frose | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pioneer Woman | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Kissed | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Royal Seeker | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | C Dub | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Love | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Your Life | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Owning | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hank the Tank | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flattering Pose | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cool Night | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Haru’s Star | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gem of a Tiger | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Honor | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tenga’s Jubilee | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Share the Vision | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Untapped Potential | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alicia’s Pride | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thick Smoke | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Lil Flirt | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sonic Brees | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Schivel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freerunning | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Wish | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Deputy Gary | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exhalting | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tinsel Town Queen | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond of Value | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Tea All Shade | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Q T | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fracas | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Gigi | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Encountress | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Chuck | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thousand Words | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Power | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anneau d’Or | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fellow Citizen | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Jones | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abusive Gary | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agronomo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shinny | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Equipo A | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | See Through It | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watch Cairo | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Vitamin | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Warrior | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Great Lady M S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hang a Star | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bellafina | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artistic Diva | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amuse | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sneaking Out | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zusha | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donut Girl | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quicker | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dodger | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mel | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winners Club | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Still in the Game | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ekklesia | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Prospect | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Armor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.