July 3, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Church of Many | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Swarm | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rossman | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ziyanair | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Star | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fast Cotton | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Romano | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rick’s Dream | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Cha Cha | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Grader | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harvest Moon | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Happy Girl | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Del Mar Drama | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookintogeteven | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enchanted Nile | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Tune | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suezaaana | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Will Dancer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imagineiamfastest | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Factor | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Musketier | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mercy Rule | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dutt Bart | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Italiano | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camby | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Hunter | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Littlebitamedal | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adens Dream | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Honor | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master Juba | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mean Sophia | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ava’s Charm | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Saints Paynter | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hotitude | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Into the South | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Morning Addiction | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkling Gem | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Biddy Duke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clayton Delaney | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamba Cool | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scary Fast Smile | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rawhide Rawlins | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zero Down | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papa’s Honey | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me Macho | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Child | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.