July 3, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Winfromwithin | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indoctrinate | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Explain | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garoppolo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Farewell | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 4 | Take Charge Tina | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factoring | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Blue Atlas | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daria’s Angel | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 7 | Beach Dreaming | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ok Honey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Beyond Discreet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Solitary Gem | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Annie Rocks | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cobra Sophie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Offlee Irish | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Unbridledadventure | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hetty G. | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Movie Score | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bennys Tribute | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinky Sox | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Appletini | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookbothways | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Kitten | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party in the Sand | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Keota | 0.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jades Gelly | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jen’s Battle | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Cod Diva | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gloriously | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiple (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sea Sparkle | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overtime Olivia | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Macho | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Spokane Eagle | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Topper T | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missle Bomb | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Seanow | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reed Kan | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eye Luv Lulu | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Seethisquick | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Preamble | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Say Moi | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vigilantes Way | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Overjoyed | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tonal Vision | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spice Is Nice | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bachelor’s Bait | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Twenty Seven | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bankers Beast | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Snicket | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Magnolia’s Lady | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pure Bode | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Vivazano | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lemoncella | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta B Bold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Fractorzation | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Arrietty | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Al’s Gal | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tuck In | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Steal My Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 5 | Danny California | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10A | 8 | Vintage Hollywood | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bourbon Bay | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Chalice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Six Percent | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7B | 6 | Yankee Division | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dancers for Token | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Run for Boston | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8B | 8 | Big Thicket | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Quintarelli | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – License Fee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dalika (GER) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bridlewood Cat | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’llhandalthecash | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Auramet | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Getmotherarose | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Escapade | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Escape | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Great Time | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Ratchet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Love Code | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adios Amigos | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fluent in Sarcasm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Shandian | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mommie’s Jewel | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Troubadour | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tempesta | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rapide Franey | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fivestar Bandit | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Determined One | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jet for Andy | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J’s Warrior | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lorcan | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond the Stars | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.