July 2, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Purdue | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laker Jet | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mama’s Kid | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luv Is All U Need | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | At the Margin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop the Mic | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Family Trips | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Spicy Sommelier | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Monicat | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Exchange Vows | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mucha Woman | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Lady | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feeling Grazeful | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Commander (FR) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Bean | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Finish | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shane Zain | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Business | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antithetical | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot Box | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wedding Groom | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dennis Celery | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | None Above the Law | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rousing Slammer | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Govenor Bernstein | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard to Do | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cezanne | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bronn | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsthattime | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Legend | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Easy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Ice Storm | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Diva | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Cherie | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meso | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Toffee | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Window | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ever Ready | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | September Secret | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m So Anna | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stars of Bluegrass | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Will Take a Kiss | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Righteously | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mamba Queen | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Steinway | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Complete Control | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Clare’s Irish Eyes | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Koko’s Mom | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.