Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 2, 2020

July 2, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Purdue 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Laker Jet 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Mama’s Kid 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Luv Is All U Need 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 At the Margin 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Drop the Mic 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Family Trips 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Spicy Sommelier 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Monicat 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Exchange Vows 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 4 Mucha Woman 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Best Lady 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Feeling Grazeful 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Commander (FR) 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Wild Bean 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Quick Finish 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Shane Zain 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Show Business 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Antithetical 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hot Box 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Wedding Groom 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Dennis Celery 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 None Above the Law 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Rousing Slammer 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Govenor Bernstein 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Hard to Do 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cezanne 0.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Bronn 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Itsthattime 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Mongolian Legend 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Never Easy 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Perfect Ice Storm 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Majestic Diva 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 She Cherie 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Meso 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Tiz Toffee 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mongolian Window 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Ever Ready 3.50 2 4-1
11 10 September Secret 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 I’m So Anna 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Stars of Bluegrass 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Will Take a Kiss 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Righteously 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Mamba Queen 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 7 Steinway 20.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Complete Control 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Clare’s Irish Eyes 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Koko’s Mom 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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