July 2, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Kara Mia | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Starr | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Keys | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calidad | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Central Perk | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adriatic Holiday | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Slippers | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Catch a Cab | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Pigeon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Command | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Control Group | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honorable Hero | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Gold | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Legacy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O Shea Can U See | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Nutzforboltz | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blackjack Davey | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River Nile | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Microsecond | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jade’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pacific Jazz | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Suspect | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wakanda Forever | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Title | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rousey | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Maga | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashpackinbarbie | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dublinornothin | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Queen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Graces | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Invasion | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tequila Sunday | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malarkey | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | First Forever | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Last Million | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Fond | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tayler’s the Boss | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peaches and Spice | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Zecha | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mister Winston | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Life Changer | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creed | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Villainous | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edge of Fire | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liveyourbeastlife | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s Fire | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spinoff | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Complexity | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sniper Shot | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nicodemus | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win Win Win | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Backsideofthemoon | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Dozing | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Lover | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wait for It | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mount Vernon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | War Canoe | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Five | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Munchkin Money | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Lady | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fetching | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kreesie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Niko’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Herwaze | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cainudothetwist | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Mizzen the Mark | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Painite | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peerless | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apollo’s Abraxas | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Central Capital | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gen Z | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here Comes Bubbles | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Choose Happiness | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Oak Creek Canyon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.