June 28, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | True Grace | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Quick Return | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Emcee Prime | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Book of Delancey | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danegeld | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | After Prom Party | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Liquor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rapide Franey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Business Cycle | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardcore Folklore | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deep Sea | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moneymeister | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earned Success | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tipsy Moose | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Graves Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jazzique (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hotsy Totsy (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fashion’s Star (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xanthique | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indochine | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joyous Times | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excess Capacity | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Deputy Flag | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Rose | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild William | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Hill | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unprecedented | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Future Book | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coolboy | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preternatural | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Walkoff | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Commissioner | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | California Night | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Armament | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spectacular Plum | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brokers Prize | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mills | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Selfmade | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Bielefeld | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Coragescontender | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fridaybeers | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | False Alarm | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | True Palace | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Yousaidhello | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supply Sider | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unlikely | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Primitive Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Royal Suspect | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cold Hard Cash | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lorenzen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cariba | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crystal Glacier | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stop War | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | O’Malley | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peaceful | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Henni Penny | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rude Awaking | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Amber | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Sarah | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Peppina | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mo Me Mo My | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bustin Scones | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bouwerie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Critical Value | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Risky Mischief | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Q | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Naked Avenger | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Courageous Girl | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ilchester Cheetah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Crescent Lady | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss and Run | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Kept Waiting | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Timeless Journey | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Two Cent Tootsie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spin Your Partner | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beyond Brown | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giacosa | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tornado Crossing | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Herwaze | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Calidad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sainte Mere Eglise | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.