June 19, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tapitution | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eastern Ocean | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macedonian Ruler (AUS) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Munnings’ Pilot | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lane Way | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frasard (GB) | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tallien (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exhort | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exeter | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Violent Speed | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sybil’s Kitty | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pasito | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sindy’s Revenge | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truth Prevails | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Good Deal | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Much More Halo | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Path | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiberius Mercurius | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fravel | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Slo Mo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Still in the Game | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Vicious | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Polish | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmo | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Fish | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Zinger | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Touchdown Brown | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rantanen | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Lion | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poso Creek | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broken Finger | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What’s Up Surfer | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sly | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Most Sandisfactory | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Press Briefing | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camps Bay | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fengari | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bedrock | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leprino | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strugar | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joeys Ace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Infatuate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Premier League | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Twirling Derby | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Master Recovery | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Negotiator | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | With Due Cause | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cali Caliente | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Patriot | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brace for Impact | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Late | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tallemark | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Harper’s Gallop | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smiling Annie | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noor Khan | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Loud Loud Music | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shylock Eddie | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Speedy Gigi | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ruby Bradley | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Donut Girl | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bella Renella | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Business | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malakai Moxie | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Clutch | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoop Dream | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Socks | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | El Chapin | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grazed My Biscuits | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rockie Causeway | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheerful Charm | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On Mars | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Hot for Curlin | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peace Pipe | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella D | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking the Throne | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Sky | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gem of a Tiger | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose’s Crystal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cassie Belle | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.