June 12, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | River Tiber | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Mrs Frankel (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zippy Baby | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wink | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Alda | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Girl Dad | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Seguro | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Make Mischief | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sky’s Not Falling | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Annie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Letmetakethiscall | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Last Million | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Calm | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Forever | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bertranda | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin to Please | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dragoness | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peaches and Spice | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Long May You Run | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coltandmississippi | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Style | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vineyard Sound | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Mist | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lazarus Project | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reed Kan | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bitumen | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Rhythm Section | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Torres Del Paine | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Arithmetic | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4A | 2 | King of Ranch | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12A | 8 | Pretendant | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Make a Stand | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Starship Bubba | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Super Wicked Charm | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Rose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cray Cray | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Blood Moon | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Lottie’s Mizzion | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 15A | 13 | Queenofeverything | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Charlotte Webley | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mani Pedi | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Helen by Night | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keep Dreamin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | She’sfirstclass | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lovely Escort | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whistlinginthedark | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune’s Girl | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kefaliani | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | E Z Lorelle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Idaka | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Molly’s Shrink | 50.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | On to Cincinnati | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Noor Sahara (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Eliade (FR) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miss Munnings | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wegetsdamunnys | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beale Street | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Matty’s Magnum | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Beau Belle | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vortex Road | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dyna Passer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Great Johanna | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Allure Fortune | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostghostghost | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Calidad | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jewel of Arabia | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eloquent Speaker | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Starr | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Voice of Spring | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bankers Daughter | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Heights | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vivazano | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Masterof the Tunes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Gen Z | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sayyaaf | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Identity Politics | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chewing Gum | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dirty | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Explorationist | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Backtohisroots | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortune’s Fool | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vision Perfect | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winston’s Chance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chateau | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Abiding Star | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Commentator S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Buff | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pat On the Back | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bankit | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Build to Suit | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blewitt | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Up | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Boy Tate | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Guy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whistling Birds | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Amano | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stare Decisis | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Astronaut | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reliability | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Seize the Hay | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shamrocket | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sandro the Great | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bail Out | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Envy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vriodini | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Commissioner Dave | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.