June 5, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grit and Glory | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hizaam | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walkoff | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rucksack | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Bo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inclunation | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Booby Trap | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macha’s Reward | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thomas Shelby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tiltingatwindmills | 0.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alley to Calvary | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Second Bite | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Positive Skew | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Petalite | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appreciate | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Intoxicologist | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wood Bee | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Minit Maus | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chaysenbryn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lake Chicot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Earned Success | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vincero | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Liam Lets Go | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Powerful Venezuela | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 15A | 12 | The Forty Factor | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Hardcore Folklore | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Scarf It Down | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9A | 6 | Bootlegger (FR) | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Majestic Affair | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Asset | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mohican | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | O Shea Can U See | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Neighborhood Bully | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sparty Boy | 50.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brimstone | 50.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Whiskey | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Frozen Account | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blackjack Davey | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Top of the Mint | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Farragut | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Buckley | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senor Phelps | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic View | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bank Gala | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pategory One | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Competitive Cloud | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kamikaze Red | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Winners Laugh | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | River Nile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Copper Chalice | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Basie | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monkeyseemonkeydo | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Everything | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Chubby | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Abrupt | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Idle Time | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heirloom Kitten | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Factor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loaded Joe | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Caps | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tolaga Bay | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Mazzy | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hostile Witness | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Target Rock | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | John Want Revenge | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sandy Lane Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Instagrand | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Amundson | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tribecca | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ready to Escape | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mount Travers | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Topper T | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Right Path | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onemoregreattime | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Winifred J | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Holmdel Park | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ancient Brown | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Point | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grudge | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stretchthestory | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amos | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Important One | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queendom | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Questeq | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Happy Music | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Time Limit | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Appletini | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Good Credence | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wailin Josie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Voting Agreement | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bredenbury (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch a Thrill | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lost Ticket | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | China Silk | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carrizo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Break Curfew | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Peppina | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spin Control | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brass Ring | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cariba | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pure Wow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miss Mi Mi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Timely Tradition | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Amber | 50.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Over Victoria | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Harmony Lodge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Mother Mother | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Charlotte | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Piedi Bianchi | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slimey | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey I’m Good | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Janie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pacific Gale | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last True Love | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nisha | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chalon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Complex System | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Propensity | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Its a Wrap | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caribbean Gold | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Frontier | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Uncle George | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Breithorn | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elston | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point of Humor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | G C Cam | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Call Home | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arkaan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.