May 17, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Shines Her Light (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Querelle | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lofty | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Thousand Dreams | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mo Me Mo My | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nice Ice | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Queen of the Track | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hello Bubbles | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Gone | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stopped Raining | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thriving (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Glorious | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Self Isolation | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judy With Grace | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miz Lola La Dare | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Wins | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Koko’s Mom | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Afternoon Heat | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shuster | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Paytience | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whooping Jay | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Belong to Becky | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Finish | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conte Cavour | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Regards | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Liberalism | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noor Khan | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thick Smoke | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ole Silver | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elgofranco | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Finish | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mountain Pass | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Va Va Voom | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gemma Royal | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Christmas Gold | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Bud Knight | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tropical Terror | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Am Innocent | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gambini | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foothill | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cali Caliente | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brix | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inesperado | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Clutch | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fravel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unusually Handsome | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hammering Lemon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pour On the Cole | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rowayton | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Collusion Illusion | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Dad | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Joe Bay | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Sean | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pepe Tono | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loud Mouth | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Madison Parc | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Ruler | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Devil | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Ball | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Beauty | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saving Sophie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last First Kiss | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Jamboree | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Eclipse | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Desert Stormer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mother Mother | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bellafina | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Artistic Diva | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hang a Star | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Star | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fighting Mad | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tomlin | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amuse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Harper’s Gallop | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sutro | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pasito | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Ms Jones | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Invincibella (GB) | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Establish Justice | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zucchera | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Rose | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Graces (GB) | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sabinos Pride | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Destiny’s Journey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Diamond of Value | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kleen Karma | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Winning Element | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lambeau | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Striking a Pose | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sash (GB) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soldier Boy | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbroken Star | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swamp Souffle | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Take the One O One | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Canyon Crest | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tizamagician | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Heartfullofstars | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Justin’s Quest | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Truth Seeker | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.