Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 17, 2020

May 17, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Shines Her Light (IRE) 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Querelle 3.00 3 6-1
8 7 Lofty 1.80 3.2 6-1
6 5 A Thousand Dreams 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Mo Me Mo My 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Nice Ice 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Queen of the Track 8.00 6.6 13-1
11 10 Hello Bubbles 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Clearly Gone 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 6 Stopped Raining 50.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Thriving (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Glorious 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Self Isolation 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Judy With Grace 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Miz Lola La Dare 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Love Wins 1.80 3.5 7-1
2 2 Koko’s Mom 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Afternoon Heat 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Shuster 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Mr Paytience 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Whooping Jay 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 I Belong to Becky 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Quick Finish 3.00 4 7-1
3 3 Conte Cavour 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sweet Regards 6.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Liberalism 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Noor Khan 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Thick Smoke 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Ole Silver 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Elgofranco 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Lovely Finish 3.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Mountain Pass 30.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Va Va Voom 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Gemma Royal 30.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Christmas Gold 50.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Bud Knight 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Tropical Terror 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 I Am Innocent 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Gambini 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Foothill 12.00 8.4 16-1
10 9 Cali Caliente 10.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Brix 6.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Inesperado 20.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Mr. Clutch 15.00 10 19-1
6 6 Fravel 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unusually Handsome 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hammering Lemon 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pour On the Cole 15.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rowayton 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Collusion Illusion 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Tiger Dad 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 St. Joe Bay 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Hot Sean 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Pepe Tono 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Loud Mouth 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Madison Parc 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Classy Ruler 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Sweet Devil 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Crystal Ball 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Regal Beauty 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Saving Sophie 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Last First Kiss 6.00 5 10-1
9 9 Midnight Jamboree 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Full Eclipse 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Desert Stormer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mother Mother 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 4 Bellafina 1.20 1.9 4-1
6 5 Artistic Diva 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Hang a Star 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 First Star 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Fighting Mad 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Tomlin 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Amuse 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Harper’s Gallop 6.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Sutro 4.00 3 6-1
11 11 Pasito 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lucky Ms Jones 4.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Invincibella (GB) 3.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Establish Justice 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Zucchera 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Smiling Rose 6.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Social Graces (GB) 12.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Sabinos Pride 20.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Destiny’s Journey 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Diamond of Value 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kleen Karma 30.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Winning Element 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lambeau 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Kiss Today Goodbye 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Striking a Pose 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Sash (GB) 12.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Soldier Boy 5.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Unbroken Star 15.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Swamp Souffle 10.00 9 17-1
11 11 Take the One O One 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Canyon Crest 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tizamagician 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Heartfullofstars 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Justin’s Quest 20.00 11 21-1
10 10 Truth Seeker 15.00 11.1 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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