Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 16, 2020

May 16, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Royally Big 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Sensuous 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Brickbat 10.00 5.3 10-1
12 11 Ultimate Mystery 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Moana Luna 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Royal Aspirations 6.00 6.2 12-1
14 12 Lil Sydney 4.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Street Image 3.50 6.8 13-1
6 5 Calder Vale 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 7 Poise to Strike 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 3 John’s Intuition 8.00 9 17-1
11 10 Git On Your Pulpit 5.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Rossman 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 J C’s Henrietta 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wishful 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Time for Ebby 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tinsel Town Queen 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Donut Girl 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Songofthedesert 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Stormin Ranger 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Silk From Heaven 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 I Want One 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Affianced 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Sweet Sonny 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Himiko 6.00 4.4 8-1
13 11 Constantia 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Moonhall Milly (IRE) 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Quiet Secretary 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 M Fast 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Predictable Tully (IRE) 15.00 7.8 15-1
11 10 Scarlet Lips 12.00 7.8 15-1
10 9 Vegas Palm 10.00 9.4 18-1
8 7 Del Mar Drama 20.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Navetta 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Fierce for Sul 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hola Chica 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Multiplier 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Route Six Six 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ax Man 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Kershaw 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Justinian 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Law Abidin Citizen 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kris’ Wild Kat 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Go for a Ride 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Liberal (IRE) 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Worthy Turk 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Speakerofthehouse 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Taco Waco 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Bob’s Sniper 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Spectator’s Dream 30.00 8 15-1
7 7 Tizalwaves 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Echo Eddie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Big Sweep 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Stir the Pot 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Club Aspen 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Rookie Mistake 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Phantom Boss 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Bettor Trip Nick 3.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Audace 15.00 6.6 13-1
6 5 Project Leader 30.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Summer Fire 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Desert Oasis (GB) 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Dogtag 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Strike At Dawn 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Don’t Blame Judy 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Sold It 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 She’s Our Charm 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Out of Balance 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Evening Jewel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Been Studying Her 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Smiling Shirlee 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Warren’s Showtime 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Speedy Gigi 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Dim Lights 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Bulletproof One 2.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Bella Vita 6.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Warrior’s Moon 12.00 7 13-1
10 10 Homehome 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Florentine Diamond 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lemonade Stand 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Istanbul 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Capital Call 8.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Summer Invasion 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Leprino 5.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Perseverance 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Heywoods Beach 3.50 7.8 15-1
2 2 Eastern Ocean 8.00 9 17-1
5 5 Port Saint Joe 12.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Fire Polish 12.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Dominant Soul 8.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 Frasard (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 I’m Leaving You 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 No Slo Mo 20.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 With Due Cause 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 War Maker 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Handsome Cat 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Street Demand 8.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Jungle Roar 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sorriso 3.50 5.4 10-1
9 9 U. S. Danger 15.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Desert Swarm 4.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Hapi Hapi 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Hoop Dream 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Bodega 15.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Mobjack 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Endless Tale 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 El Chapin 50.00 12.9 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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