Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 16, 2020
May 16, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Royally Big | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sensuous | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brickbat | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ultimate Mystery | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moana Luna | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Aspirations | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Lil Sydney | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Street Image | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Calder Vale | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Poise to Strike | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | John’s Intuition | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Git On Your Pulpit | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rossman | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | J C’s Henrietta | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wishful | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Ebby | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tinsel Town Queen | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donut Girl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Songofthedesert | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormin Ranger | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silk From Heaven | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Want One | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Affianced | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Sonny | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Himiko | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Constantia | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Moonhall Milly (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quiet Secretary | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | M Fast | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Scarlet Lips | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vegas Palm | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Del Mar Drama | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Navetta | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fierce for Sul | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hola Chica | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Multiplier | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Route Six Six | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ax Man | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kershaw | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justinian | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Law Abidin Citizen | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go for a Ride | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberal (IRE) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Worthy Turk | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speakerofthehouse | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taco Waco | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bob’s Sniper | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spectator’s Dream | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tizalwaves | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Echo Eddie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Big Sweep | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stir the Pot | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Club Aspen | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rookie Mistake | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Phantom Boss | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bettor Trip Nick | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Audace | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Project Leader | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Desert Oasis (GB) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dogtag | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strike At Dawn | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Blame Judy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sold It | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Our Charm | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Out of Balance | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Evening Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Been Studying Her | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Shirlee | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warren’s Showtime | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Gigi | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dim Lights | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bulletproof One | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Vita | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warrior’s Moon | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Homehome | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Florentine Diamond | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lemonade Stand | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Istanbul | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Call | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Summer Invasion | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leprino | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perseverance | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heywoods Beach | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eastern Ocean | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Port Saint Joe | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fire Polish | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dominant Soul | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Frasard (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | I’m Leaving You | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Slo Mo | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | With Due Cause | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Maker | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Cat | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Demand | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jungle Roar | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sorriso | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | U. S. Danger | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desert Swarm | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hapi Hapi | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoop Dream | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodega | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mobjack | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Endless Tale | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | El Chapin | 50.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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