May 16, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Socially Astray | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nenita | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trinni Sunshine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Evil | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Stylish | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Angels Dream | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Hero Wanda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Honest Gal | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 8 | Descente | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Yako | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Our Closure | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Bahama Kitten | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Nelly | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Vitaemi | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Valley Date | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Quick Point | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vinyardnina | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Retro Street | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Trilby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Oblio’s Wish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chiclet’s Dream | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | La Incondicional | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Solitary Gem | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonstone | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sammie Sunshine | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Marta | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slingin Sammy B | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bargainaire | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fast Catalina | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Panarea | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chez Paree | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feather’s Secret | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seamialaugh | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Na Na Dude | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Running Girl | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captured Light | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 6 | Money Never Sleeps | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 5 | Glass Ceiling | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 4 | Addilyn | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Battleofwinterfell | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Ginger Kitty | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jades Gelly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Skye Snow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Go for Mo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Urban Fairytale | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Memphis Showboat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Twirling Wind | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Logic N Reason | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stormy Derby Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pleasant Orb | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 2 | Tale of Success | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Roar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Green Light Go | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | With Verve | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Casanova | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Crown | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ricki Ticki Taffi | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ournationonparade | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Kroy | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Almashriq | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thunder Ride | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Forever Mo | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Class and Cash | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Neepawa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Quenane | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Celebration (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Silent Jet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Go Poke the Bear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Green Mansions | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Untitled | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casino Grande | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Brother | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Extraordinary | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edge of Fire | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Candy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liveyourbeastlife | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Small Reason | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Powder Break S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bella Ciao | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Valiance | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Valedictorian | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jakarta | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Great Sister Diane | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | W W Fitzy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Goodbye Brockley | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noor Sahara (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Silver Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tapit Today | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Got Stormy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Musical Romance S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady’s Island | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellera | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Sixty | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J P’s Delight | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liza Star | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oceans of Love | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Picara | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Bonita | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Storm the Bridge | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Captain Yenner | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Capitan Fofo | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mighty Fast | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Amazing Moment | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Trisomia | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Brian’s Avenue | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iambutter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Vecchio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Siesta Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.