Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 16, 2020

May 16, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Socially Astray 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Nenita 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Trinni Sunshine 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Awesome Evil 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Too Stylish 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Lucky Angels Dream 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Super Hero Wanda 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Honest Gal 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 8 Descente 2.50 2.8 5-1
12 7 Yako 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Our Closure 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 5 Bahama Kitten 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Spicy Nelly 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 6 Vitaemi 20.00 6 11-1
7 4 Valley Date 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 2 Quick Point 30.00 8 15-1
2 2 Vinyardnina 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Retro Street 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Trilby 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Oblio’s Wish 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Chiclet’s Dream 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 La Incondicional 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Solitary Gem 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Moonstone 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sammie Sunshine 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Forever Marta 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Slingin Sammy B 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bargainaire 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fast Catalina 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Panarea 1.20 2.3 4-1
1 1 Chez Paree 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Feather’s Secret 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Seamialaugh 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Na Na Dude 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Running Girl 30.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Captured Light 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 6 Money Never Sleeps 3.00 3.2 6-1
14 5 Glass Ceiling 3.50 3.3 6-1
13 4 Addilyn 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 1 Battleofwinterfell 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 3 Ginger Kitty 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Jades Gelly 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Skye Snow 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Go for Mo 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Urban Fairytale 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Memphis Showboat 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 She’s a Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Twirling Wind 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Logic N Reason 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Stormy Derby Day 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Pleasant Orb 2.00 SCRATCH
7 2 Tale of Success 15.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Roar S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Green Light Go 1.20 1.9 4-1
2 2 With Verve 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Cajun Casanova 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Double Crown 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ricki Ticki Taffi 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ournationonparade 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Kroy 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Almashriq 4.50 4 8-1
2 1 Thunder Ride 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 4 Forever Mo 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Class and Cash 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Neepawa 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Quenane 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Celebration (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Silent Jet 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Go Poke the Bear 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Green Mansions 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Untitled 1.20 2 4-1
6 6 Casino Grande 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Cajun Brother 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Extraordinary 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Edge of Fire 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Golden Candy 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Liveyourbeastlife 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Small Reason 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Powder Break S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Bella Ciao 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 5 Valiance 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Valedictorian 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Jakarta 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 4 Great Sister Diane 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 7 W W Fitzy 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 6 Goodbye Brockley 30.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Noor Sahara (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Silver Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tapit Today 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Got Stormy 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Musical Romance S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lady’s Island 1.40 2.2 4-1
3 3 Wildwood’s Beauty 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bellera 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Two Sixty 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 J P’s Delight 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Liza Star 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Oceans of Love 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Picara 30.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Starship Bonita 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Storm the Bridge 2.00 2.4 5-1
9 6 Captain Yenner 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 1 Capitan Fofo 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 2 Mighty Fast 4.00 3 6-1
5 3 Amazing Moment 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 4 Trisomia 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 5 Brian’s Avenue 30.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Iambutter 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mr. Vecchio 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Siesta Moon 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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