May 2, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | War Ballad | 30.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jaccat | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full of Grace | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Alternate | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hawt Mess | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | She’s a Dime | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timely Tradition | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A. P. Princess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | True Castle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Imperial | 4.50 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady C | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Undecidedcertainty | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spurwink Lane | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Clay’s Quartz | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hurricane Tizway | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Portofina | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Extra Effort | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bonus Baby | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s the Boss | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Take Charge Glenda | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brittle and Yoo | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scolding | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Eyed Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gurl You Fine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shallow | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | My Golden Diablo | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Destinedtobeastar | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reef’s Destiny | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bebop Shoes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Cactus Jack | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wasabi Moon | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jack Be Quick | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bogey | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Don | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sir Brahms | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Macho Rocco | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Call Me Derby | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bank Man | 12.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tempt Fate | 4.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Macho Bob | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Toussaint | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Northern Star | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J Z My Man | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Uncle Addouma | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gonna Get Loud | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Illuminati | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Im Justa Bachelor | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quality Warrior | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bold Proposition | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bank | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Major Attraction | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Jukebox | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gambler Rocket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rated R Superstar | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bankit | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chris and Dave | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Two Thirty Five | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Pirate’s Punch | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lone Rock | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lombo | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Trove | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Operation Stevie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Range Toddy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mick’s Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kershaw | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Endorsed | 3.50 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wild Tonight | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ring of Fire | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | F F Rocket | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friar’s Road | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beaver Hat | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Empire | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Second Line David | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tonaltalitarian | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Union | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Absolute Unit | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hunt the Front | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What a Country | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Baker’s Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Divine Armor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Gamine | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Foreign Exchange | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Queen Bridget | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Seahawk Lisa | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Black Kat Taps | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Orquidias Biz | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Speech | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kiss the Girl | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Bella | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Compelling Smile | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Brave Cinderella | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Bootytama | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Ain’t No Elmers | 2.50 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Don Vito Corleone | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean (AUS) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Times Square | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Defender | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moretti | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fra Mauro | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dukes Up | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Popit | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benintendi | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Firery Tale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sandino Ruler (ARG) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Courting a Kiss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tentwelvefourteen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fortheluvofbourbon | 8.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Proverb | 8.00 | 0.3 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eskenforit | 20.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sonny Smack | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dunph | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Popular Kid | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Guinness | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Gotcha | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rotation | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Home Run Trick | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Extirpator | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Arrival | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Altito | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fearless | 3.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Slew Tang Clan | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spanish Kingdom | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Special Day | 30.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prodigious Bay | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life On the Road | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candy Tycoon | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ginobili | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amen Corner | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Villainous | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Background | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Tide | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kadesh | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Katzarelli | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rushie | 2.50 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Winning Impression | 15.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Friends Beer | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Mosa | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Runner | 30.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Anneau d’Or | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Crypto Cash | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Basin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gouverneur Morris | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shooters Shoot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wrecking Crew | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Charlatan | 1.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Oaklawn H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chess Chief | 30.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bravazo | 30.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Combatant | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captivating Moon | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Promise | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Night Ops | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tax | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trophy Chaser | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | By My Standards | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Identifier | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Improbable | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mr Freeze | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tacitus | 4.50 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Charge | 8.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Finnick the Fierce | 15.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Code Runner | 50.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Farmington Road | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King Guillermo | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Prospector | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Taishan | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Storm the Court | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Wells Bayou | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratogian | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fast Enough | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Nadal | 2.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dangerfield | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Rouge Diesel | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | She Might Tell | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Curlin Grey | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stuart Hall | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whole Lotta Luck | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild About You | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Take Charge d’Oro | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Vow | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | River Echo (GB) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Impress | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wickets Way | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carlos Sixes | 4.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghostly Who | 12.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.