Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 30, 2020

April 30, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Cardiac Kid 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Limetini 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Abdaa 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 This Is Sparta 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Tiger’s Back 10.00 5 9-1
3 2 Strong Ending 12.00 6 11-1
4 3 Gatto Marrone 15.00 8 15-1
12 9 Percher 15.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Winter At Bastogne 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ringle Belle 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Elvis’s Joy 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Starship Bubba 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Skyray 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Woodhaven Kid 20.00 SCRATCH
14 10 Rapstorerocks 20.00 10.3 20-1
7 6 Splendid Stone 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sunshine City 1.40 1.1 2-1
1 1 Special Inclusion 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Missing Link 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 8 Inertia 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Darla 4.50 2 4-1
6 5 Tempt Me 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 La Mama Chula 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Kitten’s Dream 30.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Baciami Ora 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Monmouth Dr 1.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Dazzling Prose 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Steadily 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Dardanellos 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Crupi’s Pizza Dom 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Uncle Curly 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Dr G’s Hope 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Lil Bull 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 All D’ Hype 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Beach Traffic 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 4 Winning Factor 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 1 Cloudbased 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 5 Fayez 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 2 Perfect Enough 15.00 6 11-1
9 6 Lovedisc 15.00 6.1 11-1
10 7 Sobek 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 3 Katz Me At Noon 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Voicesinthedarknez 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lucidus 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Farm Strong 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bimini 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Miz Chaplin 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Mystic Nile 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Papa’s Little Girl 4.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Janet B Doesit All 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Charge Account 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Shes One Mad Momma 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 My Sebastiana 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 2 Gloriously 3.50 2 4-1
3 1 Coin the Phrase 4.50 2.3 4-1
8 5 Humor Me Dixie 6.00 3 6-1
7 4 Senora Roma 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 3 Mane Attraction 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Midnight Marvel 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Avuncular 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cassey’s Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fuddled (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 6 I Am Magical (GB) 4.50 2.9 6-1
11 7 Let’s Be Honest 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 1 Bramble Bay 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 4 Omnia 8.00 5 9-1
5 2 Shikaka 15.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Bean Counter 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 I’ll Do It My Way 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Augusta Moon 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Toleration 20.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Mixteca 20.00 10.3 19-1
8 5 Indicia 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chill Haze 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Fast Magic 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Speedy Hans 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Bourbon Street 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Tempus 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Dream d’Oro 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Legal Deal 12.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Ghost Game 15.00 9 17-1
6 6 Tapi Frost 15.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Rodeo Red 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mr Nappy 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Alfatei 20.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 5 Run Devil 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 2 Sky Chaser 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 1 Real Doozie 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 4 Our Closure 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 3 Heiressindy 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Ghostly Beauty 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Sister Otoole 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Centsless Drama 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Yolanda’s Pride 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Blue Mistress 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Admiral’s Win 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Cuddle Kitten 3.00 1 2-1
5 4 Bella Ciao 4.00 2 4-1
4 3 Flat Awesome Jenny 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 1 Midnight Soiree 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 Crown and Sugar 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Sean’s Idea 10.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Final Cut 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 I’ll Take the Cake 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Preacher Marsee 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Bodie Cody 4.50 2.1 4-1
12 8 Creative Genius 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Red Fog 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Bacano 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 7 Bye Bye Man 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 6 Stuck With You 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Proquestor 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lookin Forever 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Spinning Kitten 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 A I Initiative 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gone Diesel 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sir Hoski 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 At the Beach 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Direct Approach 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Russian Wine 30.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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