Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 25, 2020

April 25, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 R Ninja J K 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Quick Charge 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Eastern Symphony 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Imperial Guard 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Took a Cab 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Katara Pass 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bychance 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Fried Plantaine 15.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Diamond Port 20.00 6 11-1
11 11 Youreoutofcontrol 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Makinalegacy 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 We Connected 30.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Fiamma Mamma 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Lucky Milady 15.00 SCRATCH
9 5 Midnight Gem 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 3 Teacher Drama 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Vickythebest 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Babybel 15.00 SCRATCH
10 6 Lemon Scat 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Onezy’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wicked Solution 3.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Snow and Lillylynn 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Lanse Mitan 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ominous 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Storm the Bridge 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Mammoth 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 The Big Joker 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Newyork Giant 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Capitan Fofo 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 King Wade 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Holy Katz 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Trisomia 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cause for Pardon 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 The Mighty Judge 2.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Snap Hook 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mystical Moon 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Dark Ages 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Peacock Kitten 3.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Third Army 3.00 SCRATCH
12 11 False Accusation 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Colin a Winner 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 King Leonardo 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Graydar’s Resolve 30.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Bluesky Kitten 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Cape Marco Drive 50.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Basquiat 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Ashiham 4.50 2 4-1
9 9 Chasing Anna 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Fugitive 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Dreams of Tomorrow 10.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 O Driscoll 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tons of Gold 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mukulwitz 15.00 5 10-1
5 5 Pachanga Patrol 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Leading Factor 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Malibeauty 3.50 SCRATCH
4 2 Smack 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 5 Catharsis 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 4 Catch a Thrill 4.50 3 6-1
3 1 Bye Bye Nicky 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Hy Dollface 6.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Awsum Roar 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 7 Miss Miami 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 3 Tide Storm 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 6 Some Say So 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 8 Miss Behave 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Venezuelan Hug 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Shamrocket 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Mystery Bank 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Souper Watson 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Freedom Force 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Viper 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Disturbin Bourbon 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Jealous Boyfriend 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Winter’s Wonder 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Scars Are Cool 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Noble Thought 4.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Legit 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 War Giant 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Ice Tea 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Supreme Aura 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Squeezadios 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Max K. O. 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Unbridled S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dr Post 1.60 1.7 3-1
7 6 Attachment Rate 3.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Americanus 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Relentless Dancer 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 South Bend 4.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Soros 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Necker Island 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Crypto Gold 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Aequor 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Stock Trade 3.50 2.6 5-1
10 8 Vegas Kitten 3.00 3 6-1
3 2 New Year 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Kingsville 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Noble Hope 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Go Away 10.00 6 11-1
5 4 Maryland Pride 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Seeking Revenge 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big Dollar Bill 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Spinoff 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Soldado 2.00 2.3 4-1
9 7 Yorkton 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Hembree 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Rare Form 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Global Campaign 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Majestic Dunhill 8.00 4 8-1
7 6 Borracho 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Annualized 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Money House 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 W W Archie 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 With a Bit of Luck 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Three Hombres 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Captain Yenner 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Awesome Enough 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Gangster of Love 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Honor This 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Mr. Vecchio 20.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 East Code 20.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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