Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 24, 2020

April 24, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Couverture 10.00 1.1 2-1
12 12 Aunt Sunshine 10.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Do Me a Favor 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Princess Simone 30.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Hamazing Marnie 30.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Cloudywithachance 20.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Esther 20.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Sing a Song Too 8.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Arkansas Invasion 8.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Laura N Lukas 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Miss Casey Beth 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Dat Girl 6.00 1.5 3-1
13 13 Danzig Star 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wish for Candy 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweet Tatum 12.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Tizanillusion 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Sturdy One 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Zella Rose 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Council Rules 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 She’s a Dime 4.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Ransomed 3.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Josie the E F Five 10.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Staythirstymyamigo 12.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Listen to Rose 20.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Down Home Kitten 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Anothrdayatthelake 3.50 1.4 3-1
13 12 Teletap 12.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Hard to Impress 30.00 2.8 5-1
11 10 Justin Zee 20.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Wings Up 10.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 Napoleon’s Empire 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Free Indeed 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Japedo 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Dealin’ Stelen 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Bookie’s Blues 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Baquero Flies 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Moon Dog Spot 20.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Blunt Force 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Flatoutandfoxy 20.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Dutch Treat 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Icy Dawn 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Frozen Hannah 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mucha Mezquina 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Operatic 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Indian Bella 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Urban Kat 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Pretti Savi 12.00 10.7 20-1
11 11 Miss Mercken 3.50 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quana Dude 12.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Fort McHenry 3.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Gangly 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Icecap 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 New Eagle 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Tick Tack Mo 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Artemus Eagle 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 River Finn 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Pepper Pike 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Baozun 10.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 C C’s Baby Girl 30.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Elizabeth Rules 8.00 2 4-1
12 12 Ordained Kiss 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Louise the Laser 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Convince 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Kalliste Rose 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 She’s a Lucky One 10.00 7 13-1
4 4 Lippy 3.50 7.6 14-1
9 9 Critter 50.00 9 17-1
7 7 Ivy’s College Fund 15.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Desert Thief 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Westlodge Intrigue 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rocking Shoes 15.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Darpa 8.00 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Backshot 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Little Instigator 30.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ahnaf 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ragtime Blues 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mister Kelly 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cavalry Charge 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Shanghai’s Dream 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Big Cheddar 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Golden Notion 4.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Derby Date 4.50 1.3 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sabrena’s Bling 20.00 0.3 1-1
2 2 Hidden Ruler 5.00 0.8 2-1
4 4 Make Noise 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 New Colossus 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Impressed 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Vice Versa 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Julius 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Truck Salesman 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Marvelous Thunder 30.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Morning Snow 3.50 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 11 Imma Bling 8.00 2.5 5-1
12 9 Battle Station 10.00 2.5 5-1
10 8 Tut’s Revenge 30.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Pete’s Play Call 3.50 3 6-1
13 10 Oliver 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Strolling 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Midnight Swap 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Hot Shot Kid 8.00 8.3 16-1
9 7 D’ Rapper 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Volatile 4.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Lullaby Bling 50.00 SCRATCH
8 8 J. E.’s Handmedown 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nifty 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Strike That 3.00 13.8 26-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Royal Commission 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 American Butterfly 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rager 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Liam’s Pride 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Moonachie 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Bubba Bling 15.00 6.6 12-1
12 10 Happy Hour Cowboy 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Dark Oak 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hop Kat 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Big Returns 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mr. Tip 12.00 12.8 24-1
11 9 Juggernaut 12.00 12.9 24-1
1 1 No Parole 3.00 12.9 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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