Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 23, 2020

April 23, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sattersfield 30.00 0.6 1-1
5 5 Jeweled Crown 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Mocha Kiss 10.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Count Ur Bless’n 20.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Florida Bird 2.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Button Mushroom 15.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Bendi Blu 20.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Turnstone 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Get One More 3.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Mischievous Dancer 20.00 1 2-1
2B 11 Qualifly 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 1 You’re Killin Me 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Bajan Cash 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 V Tach M. D. 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 2 Storminside 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 3 Meanbone 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Lookie Loo 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 10 Leo 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 12 Annie’s Candy 6.00 10.3 19-1
10 9 Senor Blair 10.00 11.1 21-1
9 8 Freedom Hill 4.50 11.2 21-1
1 5 Monydontspenitself 6.00 12.8 24-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 De Livermore 20.00 1 2-1
12 12 Houston Pipe 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Unbridled Shoes 30.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 African Warrior 30.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Ironic 15.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Dinner At Crumpies 15.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Macho Rocco 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Moonshine Moment 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Broken Together 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 J’s Little Man 5.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Thornish 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Crow Mountain 10.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Papa Star 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Boo Be Right 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Roaring Fork 10.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Mesa Skyline 15.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Kenzou’s Rhythm 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 I Will Stand 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Ernie Banks 3.50 4 8-1
8 8 Solomonic 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Full of Run 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Rocko’s Wheel 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Moment 2.50 8.4 16-1
1 1 Around the Dial 6.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Unwanted Intruder 20.00 1 2-1
6 5 Semi Charmed Day 15.00 1.2 2-1
10 9 Wicked Citi 15.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Bee Bridge 10.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 McShady 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Marquee Thunder 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 6 Squared Straight 10.00 1.3 2-1
9 8 Deanos Cape 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Urbanite 6.00 1.3 2-1
12 11 Ahsad 5.00 1.3 3-1
8 7 Mo and Go 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Dyess 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Nod to Persia 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Hidden Promise 10.00 1 2-1
12 11 Harlequin 12.00 1.1 2-1
6 5 Young Phillip 10.00 1.2 2-1
9 8 Bump Bailey 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Alex’s Strike 5.00 1.8 3-1
10 9 Exultation 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Botero 4.50 2 4-1
5 4 T C’s Image 20.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 General Miles 30.00 2.9 5-1
11 10 Belews Gold 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Rollin Sevens 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Channel Crossing 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cold Smoke 4.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Sammys Dream 20.00 13.9 26-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tentwelvefourteen 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Racer 20.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Coal Truth 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 I’m Corfu 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 King of the Court 20.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Whenthedovescry 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Stay Home 15.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Fascilitator 5.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 El Asesino 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Recount 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sevier 15.00 10.4 20-1
6 6 Whiskey Echo 5.00 10.5 20-1
5 5 Courting a Kiss 3.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Spokane Eagle 10.00 13.6 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lemon Drop Kitty 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kiss More 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Luna Fortis 6.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Resurrection Road 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Crystal Lake 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Madame Barbarian 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Road Test 4.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Drinkatthecreek 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Deputy Dora 8.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Out of Trouble 3.50 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lightning Bug 30.00 1 2-1
2 2 Seattle Slang 4.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Elusive Ride 15.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lucky Betty 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Raggedy Annie 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Auction Fever 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Henny Fly 10.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Magine 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 First Empress 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Copper Nickel 6.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Rumpleminx 30.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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