Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 19, 2020

April 19, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 12 Victory Crusade 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Camellia Gal 2.00 SCRATCH
14 11 Fast Catalina 8.00 4.5 8-1
12 9 Books 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Dinner At Five 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Saucy Tune 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Feather’s Secret 10.00 4.9 9-1
13 10 Sense a Million 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Myfirstexwife 4.50 SCRATCH
11 8 Ella’s Island 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Trevess 10.00 6.5 12-1
15 15 I’m Prayingforthat 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 The Velvet Beast 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 7 Wonder Charm 20.00 8.2 15-1
8 6 Shell Beach Party 20.00 9.7 18-1
7 5 Miranda Sofia 30.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Memorize 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Suz 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Nowitna River 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 5 Pocket of Candy 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Salsa Rita 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Four K’s 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Strong Ending 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Mighty Fast 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 6 Ingreido 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Nick Nick 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Privilegio 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Consilium 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mia’s Extortionist 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bip Bip Full Power 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Don’t Get Khozy 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Lalali 1.60 2 4-1
7 7 Princess Ulele 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fast Venezuela 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Blessed Beast 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Marching In 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Angelic Knugget 30.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pop a Choc 3.50 1.2 2-1
10 10 May I 20.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Talking Book 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 All I Need 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Eternal Peace 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Rearrange 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Delightful Dreamer 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Wind Dreamer 15.00 7 13-1
11 10 Come Storming 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Winnipeg Wonder 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Gibberish 15.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Adriatic Holiday 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Britesideoftheroad 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bareeqa 1.80 2.8 5-1
5 5 Scatnap 3.50 3 6-1
10 9 Lookinlikeaqueen 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Kiffle 3.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Codrington 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Free to Fly 12.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Flashing Diamond 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dance Till Dawn 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Sister Gema 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Katieleigh 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brookes All Mine 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Grace’s Drama 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tiz Possible Dear 2.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Put Position 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cacciatora (VEN) 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Denver 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Durlyn 15.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Kindhearted Kota 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Quick Point 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Casino Grande 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Patrol 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mystic Lancelot 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Letmeno 4.50 3.5 7-1
14 14 Kaufy Bean 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 No Word 3.00 4.7 9-1
13 13 Justinthenickotime 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kid Mercury 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Hombrazo 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Pleasecallmeback 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Street Ready 15.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Life On Top 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Aficionado 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Prefect 20.00 9.3 17-1
6 6 Small Reason 30.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trappezoid 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Blakey 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Yes I See 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Il Faraone 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dexter Road 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Areyoutalkingtome 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gran Greyfrost 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Arrivederla 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Blue Mistress 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Seranitsa 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Cariba 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Bering Strait 4.00 3.4 6-1
13 12 Zabava 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 All Quality 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Believe Indeed 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Drinks On Me 10.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Take Ten 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Sweet Hitch Hiker 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Temple City Terror 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Pakhet 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 No Way Jose (IRE) 15.00 9.2 17-1
10 9 Heir of Light 20.00 11.3 21-1
11 10 Memphis Showboat 20.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Renata 3.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Royal Mandate 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Let Them Eat Cake 4.50 3.4 6-1
10 10 Makisupa (GB) 8.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Sneer 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 First in Command 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Two Cent Tootsie 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Better With Age 10.00 6 11-1
12 12 Sundae Smile 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Bright Street 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Follow the Flag 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Ocala 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Mariposa Belle 20.00 9.6 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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