Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 17, 2020

April 17, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Halfy 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Flowzano 3.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 Harmonic Thunder 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Lookn Fine as Wine 6.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Bettin Onna Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pazyarmonia 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Smartizar 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Silver Palms 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Wonder Blondy 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Jimmys Lass 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Snow and Lillylynn 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Businessindubai 15.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Nationalist 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Terrible Tara 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Golden Pal 1.40 1.6 3-1
3 3 Gatsby 3.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Bailey 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Just Right Mike 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 First Navy Admiral 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Peppi 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Poseidons Myth 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Testified 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Hall Rich Legacy 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Millionaire Runner 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Summer Mischief 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Big Boy Bruno 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 6 Mr. Creative 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Love Nest 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Differential 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Takedown 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Sensational Ride 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Garner State Park 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Fast Fraction 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 A Beautiful Day 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Boatloadofnerve 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Pact 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Herculina 8.00 4.6 9-1
13 12 Bee Wings 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mixteca 20.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Zandrea’s 12.00 5.6 11-1
12 11 Felony Melanie 15.00 6.7 13-1
14 14 Maricopa 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Jane 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 3 La Viexa 20.00 8 15-1
3 2 Special Beach 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Philly Special 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 5 Chouchou de Boo 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Lake Parima 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Millefiori 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Maries Melody 6.00 4 8-1
11 11 Show Maid 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Polished Copper 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Anglico 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Sea Anna Dream 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Josefa 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Gravel Gertie 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiz Mischief 12.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Mihos 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 4 Do Share 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Sniper Shot 1.20 3.2 6-1
7 6 Royal Squeeze 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Hy Riverside 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Create Again 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Glory of Florida 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Souper Shenanigan 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 1 Wild One Forever 4.00 3.4 6-1
11 7 Sovereign Warrior 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 2 Reservenotattained 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Juan Boly 20.00 SCRATCH
12 8 Ohanzee 6.00 5.1 10-1
14 14 Cat Gone Quick 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Captured by Fate 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Broadway Pete 6.00 SCRATCH
10 6 Beinfun 12.00 7.1 14-1
9 5 Neverstopdreaming 8.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Road to Peace 6.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Fentynola 20.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Poppy’s Destiny 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Notorious R B G 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Envied 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Shippy 3.50 4.5 8-1
12 12 Loriloupies 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Poseidon’s Passion 8.00 5 9-1
8 7 Mrs. Maisel 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Jades Gelly 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Just Smok’n 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 Still Alive 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 5 Free the Beast 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 6 Randiabby 30.00 9.3 18-1
9 8 Silver Tunes 30.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Fortin Hill 1.80 3.5 7-1
2 2 Yodel E. A. Who 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 7 Benefactor 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Noon Time Gem 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Moonoverseba 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Vinnie Van Go 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 6 Shakhimat 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 15.00 7 13-1
5 4 Running for Riz 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 8 Whyruawesome 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Magic Street 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Maverick Kitten 4.00 3.4 6-1
14 14 Guaco 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cowtown 5.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Alpha Dog 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Chocolate Bar 8.00 4.8 9-1
16 16 Cardiac Kid 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 King of Rock 12.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Metcalf 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Reconvene 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Bourbon Wisdom 12.00 7.8 15-1
15 15 Mystery Bank 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Port Hunter 15.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Conformity 15.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Eagles Palace 15.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Youcantcatchcurlin 20.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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