Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 16, 2020

April 16, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Here Comes Kyle 12.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 One for Richie 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mr. Ankeny 5.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Getaloadofthis 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Beemie Award 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Cabot 2.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Scoring 6.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Bullion 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bear Oak 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 First String 30.00 1.2 2-1
11 10 Mr. Scissors 12.00 1.2 2-1
10 9 Mr. Shapoor 12.00 1.2 2-1
8 7 Exhort 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Brother Martin 6.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Neverblink 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 My Name Is Phred 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Cold Smoke 3.50 1.3 3-1
9 8 Digital Star 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Score Board 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cowboy Cool 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 1 No Distortion 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Sovereign Impact 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Pat Daddy 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Rockshaw 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 4 Big Bella Brown 3.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Bow and Arrow 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Top Brass 4.00 8.8 17-1
1A 6 Control Stake 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hannity 15.00 0.8 2-1
1 1 Laddie Boy 3.00 0.8 2-1
7 7 Five Star Kip 8.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 On Patrol 8.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Zanesville 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 All About Ashley 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 He Will 15.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Take Charge d’Oro 6.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Driven to Compete 3.50 7.3 14-1
10 10 Tashkent 10.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sunday Sermon 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Reef’s Destiny 15.00 1.6 3-1
11 10 Sir Brahms 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 East Moon Lake 30.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Heisfancy 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 October Sky 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lieutenant Powell 4.50 4 7-1
5 5 Strawn’s Cash 15.00 4 7-1
12 11 Young Bull 15.00 4 8-1
10 9 Souixper Charger 2.50 6.1 12-1
1 1 Prospector Fever 3.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Piece of Work 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Arrowsphere 15.00 1.1 2-1
6 5 Cowgirl Callie 20.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Desha 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 J P’s Gladys 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Daaherachel 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Blushing Bella 4.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Smokin Hot Momma 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Dichotomy 10.00 8.8 17-1
9 8 Shaharazad 2.50 9.9 19-1
3 3 Showit 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Vokazak 50.00 1.1 2-1
1 3 The Rouge Diesel 20.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Canadian Game 4.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Curlin Grey 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 2 Magic Vow 20.00 7 13-1
5 4 Wild About You 30.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Charlie’sarchangel 3.00 9.4 18-1
11 10 Red Again 10.00 9.4 18-1
2 11 Frost Or Frippery 3.50 9.9 19-1
1A 13 Tales of War 20.00 SCRATCH
2B 14 Overzealous 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Carlos Sixes 4.50 12.5 24-1
9 8 First Masamune 30.00 13.6 26-1
6 5 Ocean Fury 20.00 13.9 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Glamorized 15.00 0.7 1-1
3 3 Sara Sea 10.00 0.8 1-1
10 9 Unique Factor 4.00 0.8 1-1
1 1 Rahway 20.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Mongolian Humor 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Goodbye Earl 15.00 1.3 3-1
12 11 Calf Moon Bay 20.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Seeds of Time 20.00 2.5 5-1
11 10 Royal Gem 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Nonna Madeline 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Violation 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Bigly 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Letruska 4.50 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Starring John Wain 12.00 0.7 1-1
12 12 Attain Success 4.00 0.9 2-1
4 4 Firery Tale 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Take Charge Now 15.00 1 2-1
1 3 Run Away Bett 15.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Jack Van Berg 8.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Three Footer 15.00 1.1 2-1
2 1 Market King 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Aggressivity 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Impeachableoffense 20.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Temple Bar 15.00 2 4-1
11 11 Special Reserve 5.00 2.3 4-1
1A 14 Harlequin 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sammys Dream 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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