April 11, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Put It On Detti | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Primo Posto | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shanghai Levi | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Congrats That | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Venerate | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Felon | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decider | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freddy Soto | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pricey Victory | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gator Fifty Two | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goldenlineof | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Reggae Pirate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Witch Hunter | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Signing Bonus | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Rockstar | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nenita | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bev’s Strength | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Lane | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncut | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Music City Wolf | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aurora Nation | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chill Haze | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen’s Mason | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light Fury | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty’s Pursuit | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapi Frost | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Stripe | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Babe | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodhaven Kid | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Azkaree | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enzoexpress | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Flayme | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Danzo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reagan’s Heart | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Bull | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Taxi | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Kelly | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Church On Time | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Messina | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Lady | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lashara (GB) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Terrazza | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egyptian Princess | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tapitlikeitshot | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Ro | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ballymore Star (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Champagne Train | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Unforeseen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Better With Age | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Primacy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nikki and Papa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Countless Fun | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Looker | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mister Winston | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Ima Pharoah | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fantastry (BRZ) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Web | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Blast | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bakers Bay | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My First Grammy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Expensive Style | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Detonator | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream d’Oro | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Victory Town | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bahamian Beat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Derby Champagne | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Solar Warming | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | National Honor | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toupha | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Themanbehindtheman | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | G Q Coverup | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Orb | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota’s Dude | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Robintakincharge | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Discreet Heat | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manhattan Project | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Liam | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Per Capita | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fugitive | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cornbread Kingdom | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tons of Gold | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Jaggers | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Blue | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Wave | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | General Mathis | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Juju | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Givemetwenty | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miami Crockett | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bahamian Prince | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Young Raymond | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zanno | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beyond Gone | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fluent in Sarcasm | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Deo Forte | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gemo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lastchanceforlove | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boerne | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gogo Shoes | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chart | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wanderlust | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Success | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Credence | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bachelor’s Bait | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Battle of Blenheim | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Basha | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Honey Won’t | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Hieroglyphics | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Souper Scat Daddy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sublime Appeal | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Arabia | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Away | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fifth Title | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Conviction Trade | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Notsosubtle | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Aura | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gentleman Joe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Carbon Data | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Blueridge Mountain | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Pacific Gale | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liza Star | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heiressall | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Causeway | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J P’s Delight | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Times | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molto Bella | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Bonita | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jakarta | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Twenty Four Seven | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Farley | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of Spades | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bondurant | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Ninja | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gosilently | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Philo | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flyoff | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Queens Jules | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Call Kitten | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shidoshi | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.