Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 11, 2020

April 11, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Put It On Detti 4.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Primo Posto 4.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Shanghai Levi 6.00 4.4 8-1
12 11 Congrats That 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bolt 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 10 Venerate 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Felon 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Decider 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Freddy Soto 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Pricey Victory 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Gator Fifty Two 30.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Goldenlineof 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Reggae Pirate 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Witch Hunter 0.80 2 4-1
9 9 Signing Bonus 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 I’m a Rockstar 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Nenita 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Bev’s Strength 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Union Lane 20.00 5 10-1
2 2 Uncut 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Music City Wolf 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Aurora Nation 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chill Haze 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Queen’s Mason 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Light Fury 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Liberty’s Pursuit 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tapi Frost 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Lucky Stripe 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 He’s a Babe 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Woodhaven Kid 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Azkaree 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Enzoexpress 1.40 3 6-1
2 2 Free Flayme 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Danzo 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Reagan’s Heart 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lil Bull 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Starship Taxi 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Major Kelly 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Church On Time 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Messina 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Champagne Lady 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lashara (GB) 8.00 4 8-1
12 12 Terrazza 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Egyptian Princess 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Tapitlikeitshot 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Take Charge Ro 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ballymore Star (IRE) 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Champagne Train 20.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Unforeseen 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Better With Age 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Primacy 1.60 SCRATCH
16 16 Nikki and Papa 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Countless Fun 30.00 11.1 21-1
7 7 A Looker 30.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mister Winston 4.50 2.2 4-1
13 11 Ima Pharoah 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Fantastry (BRZ) 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Dark Web 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Rocket Blast 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Bakers Bay 8.00 3.9 7-1
11 10 My First Grammy 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Expensive Style 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 War Detonator 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Liam’s Boy 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Dream d’Oro 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Victory Town 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bahamian Beat 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Derby Champagne 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Solar Warming 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 National Honor 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Toupha 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Themanbehindtheman 15.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 G Q Coverup 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 King Orb 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Dakota’s Dude 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Robintakincharge 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Discreet Heat 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Manhattan Project 50.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Colonel Liam 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Per Capita 1.80 2.9 6-1
10 10 Fugitive 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Cornbread Kingdom 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Tons of Gold 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Mr Jaggers 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Liberty Blue 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Golden Wave 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 General Mathis 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Good Juju 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Givemetwenty 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 8 Miami Crockett 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Bahamian Prince 4.00 4 8-1
4 3 Young Raymond 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Zanno 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 5 Beyond Gone 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Fluent in Sarcasm 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Deo Forte 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Gemo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lastchanceforlove 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Boerne 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Gogo Shoes 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Chart 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wanderlust 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Tale of Success 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Good Credence 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Bachelor’s Bait 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Battle of Blenheim 1.80 3.7 7-1
13 11 Basha 8.00 3.9 7-1
11 9 Honey Won’t 4.50 4.6 9-1
12 10 Hieroglyphics 8.00 5 10-1
14 12 Souper Scat Daddy 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sublime Appeal 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Prince of Arabia 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Go Away 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 7 Fifth Title 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 6 Conviction Trade 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 5 Notsosubtle 20.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Supreme Aura 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gentleman Joe 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Carbon Data 10.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Blueridge Mountain 30.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Pacific Gale 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Liza Star 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Heiressall 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Princess Causeway 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 J P’s Delight 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Violent Times 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Molto Bella 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Starship Bonita 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Jakarta 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Twenty Four Seven 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Farley 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 King of Spades 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Bondurant 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 American Ninja 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Gosilently 12.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Philo 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Flyoff 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 The Queens Jules 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cash Call Kitten 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Shidoshi 50.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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