Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 4, 2020

April 4, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Blessed Journey 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Punchline 3.50 2 4-1
12 12 Duellist 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Big Treasure 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Barbie’s King 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Armando’s Team 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Took a Cab 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Perfect Enough 15.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Lovedisc 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fayez 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Reinoanimaux 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Recliner 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stormy Splash 20.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Dramatic Kitten 20.00 11.5 22-1
2 2 Boogadi Steel 30.00 15.7 30-1
9 9 Highway Flyer 30.00 15.8 30-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Peppi the Hunter 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 So Long Chuck 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Millionaire Runner 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Dexter Road 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Two Step Slew 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Gemologister 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 He’s Smokin Hot 30.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Summer Mischief 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Transistor 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Differential 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Arch Flyer 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 7 Toonie Loonie 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 2 Aznavour 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Leishlanick 12.00 4.5 9-1
11 9 Bella Gianna 12.00 4.5 9-1
12 10 Princess Avril 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Blame the Storm 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 8 I’m a Ginger 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Snake N Shake 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Long Story Short 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Fiery Princess 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 So Dear 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Silver Nina 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pazyarmonia 50.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tumbadora 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Mi Tia Regis 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Nothing for Free 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 W W Archie 4.00 2 4-1
9 9 War Act 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Uno Baby Bird 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mighty Fast 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Restless Rocker 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Maquiavelo 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Major Swartzy 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Katz Me At Noon 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Moon Eyes 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Little Bella 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Domineer 8.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Grey Manners 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Broadway Peggy 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Alpilles 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Onezy’s Dream 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Abarrio Forever 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Zip It Jess 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 De Pura Sangre 12.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Angelic Knugget 50.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Bardot 2.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Ebony Bay 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 8 May Day Info 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Kozy Dreams 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Pasatime 10.00 3.3 6-1
12 11 Awesomenewyear 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Irish Thunder 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Running Girl 12.00 4.3 8-1
13 12 Granny Bradley 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Shell Beach Party 20.00 5.5 10-1
11 10 Smitten for Smitty 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Uncut 30.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Trinni Flower 50.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crow Moon 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Im the Captain Now 3.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Mystical Moon 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Dark Ages 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Snap Hook 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Roddick 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 King Leonardo 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Slick Star 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Lookin Savvy 30.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Bluesky Kitten 30.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ghostly Beauty 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 5 Hotty Toddy 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Yolanda’s Pride 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 7 Here Comes Jackie 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Lady Panda 10.00 6.7 13-1
8 6 Let’s Be Honest 15.00 9.6 18-1
6 4 Ms Headley 15.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Lookinlikeaqueen 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Takestwotowiggle 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Callie California 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Flashing Diamond 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Heiressindy 10.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Oblio’s Wish 15.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Inter Miami 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Silverly Enough 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Mobeatyabad 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Peruvian Boy 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Maserati Man 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Cigar Box 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Uncaptured King 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Iberico 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Premio 3.50 1 2-1
8 7 Class and Cash 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Dr. Shane 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Kroy 6.00 2 4-1
11 10 Halladay 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Colonist 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Mai Ty One On 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Penalty 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Thunder Ride 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Ice Tea 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Majestic Dunhill 6.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Regally Irish 30.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’ll Fight Dempsey 1.80 1.3 3-1
4 4 Sonneman 2.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Acre 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Masterday 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Tomcat Black 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Ralston 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Golden Candy 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Diamonds Enjoy 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Avenida Manana 1.80 1.5 3-1
9 9 Trilby 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Yako 8.00 3.4 7-1
11 11 Night Watch 8.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Sweet Story 8.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Paint the Corners 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Isadorable Aida 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Amazing Audrey 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Bahama Kitten 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Vitaemi 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Much About It 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Vinyardnina 30.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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