Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 2, 2020

April 2, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Living Vicariously 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 She’s Just Quality 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Violent Fight 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 8 Call Curt 6.00 2.9 5-1
14 12 Speedy Hans 6.00 3 6-1
10 9 Mr Nappy 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Officer Country 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Sam’s Spirit 15.00 6.6 13-1
8 7 Concorde’s Dream 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 10 Extremelyexclusive 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 6 Borgobythesea 20.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Bridologist 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bychance 30.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Ninth of April 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bibiana 1.60 1 2-1
10 10 Markistan 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Truly Ambitious 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Mystic Comin Home 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Jane 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 New York Commander 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Cool Lily Lou 20.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 Grey Jazmine 20.00 10 19-1
12 12 Above Par 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Arch Flyer 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pazyarmonia 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Syllabus 20.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Ima Daredevil 20.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Cabrina 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Talkthetalk 2.00 1 2-1
3 2 Papa’s Little Girl 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 4 Quiet All Around 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 3 Afrolina 50.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Miss Chloe G 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Take Charge Again 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Derby Day Zip 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mimina’s Team 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Cat Lady 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Too Sexy 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Publication 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Altaf 8.00 5.6 11-1
16 12 American Goddess 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Slip Sliding Away 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 La Babia 12.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Kiss and Run 12.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Follow the Flag 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Heavenly Peace 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dur a Cuire 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Midnight Marvel 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sursum Corda 15.00 12.5 24-1
10 10 Marsh Harbour 20.00 14.9 28-1
7 7 Miss Flying Sun 20.00 15.2 29-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Suz 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Worth Avenue 3.50 1.5 3-1
9 8 Tuesday’s Rose 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Fancy Fox 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Memorize 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 True Heiress 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Dixie Princess 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Salsa Rita 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Gilda F. 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Hartling 3.50 1 2-1
3 2 Days of Spring 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Dienda 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Richies Great Girl 8.00 5 9-1
9 8 La Rusia 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Queen Field 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Just a Bit Sassy 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Fancified 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 9 I’ll Do It My Way 15.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Glorious Gal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Envoutante 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Token 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Never Forget 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 New Hope Road 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sweden 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Assume 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Etana 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Beauty Buzz 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Redemption Day 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smack 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fallen Leaf 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Dixieincandyland 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Tiple (IRE) 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Bentley’s Dream 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Sayonara Baby 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Miss Behave 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Twice as Magical 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Awsum Roar 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bear Alley 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Pricing Exercise 4.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 This Ill Defend 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Limetini 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Battalion 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Cardiac Kid 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Phantom Dance 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Lascari (GB) 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Ever Dangerous 15.00 9 17-1
13 13 Mauro’s Team 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shamrocket 2.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mecha Corta 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Wind Ridge 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Breakaway Romance 20.00 10.8 20-1
2 2 Water Wall 20.00 11.1 21-1
12 12 River Stones 30.00 14.9 28-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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