Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 29, 2020

March 29, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Castle Gate 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Mystery Messenger 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Mystic Flight (IRE) 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 City Rage 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Galloping Mischief 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Reedley 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Whooping Jay 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tap the Wire 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Make It a Triple 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Seizetheday Rexy 1.20 1.6 3-1
5 5 World O Luck 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Pour On the Cole 3.50 4 7-1
4 4 Debt Monger 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Ziyanair 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rickey B 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Short of Ez 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 4 Kitten’s Royal 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Awhitesportscoat 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Jimmy the Juice 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Royal Seeker 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Affianced 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Moonhall Milly (IRE) 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Himiko 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Constantia 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Sweet Sonny 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Le Tub 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 M Fast 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Enchanted Nile 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Stopped Raining 30.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Del Mar Drama 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sheza Factor 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 M C Hamster 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Come On Kat 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Tiz Toffee 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Senoradiablo 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Marjorie E 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cajun Treasure 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Of Good Report 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Truth Seeker 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Secret Courier 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Move Over (GB) 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Pubilius Syrus 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Tartini 10.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Oiseau de Guerre 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tamaraandtheboys 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Dearborn 2.50 1.9 3-1
3 3 Jaccat 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Wishful 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tinsel Town Queen 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 She Cherie 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santana Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Improbable 1.20 1.6 3-1
7 7 Kershaw 3.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Two Thirty Five 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Ax Man 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Lord Guinness 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Synthesis 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Heartfullofstars 50.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Preaching Trainer 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 A Man’s Man 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Raul Rosas 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Hit the Seam 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Bench Judge 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Jetovator 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Mr Paytience 8.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Afternoon Heat 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Austin’s Boy 10.00 3.4 7-1
11 11 Black Storm 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Summer Fire 15.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Lucky Romano 20.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Coleinator 50.00 12.8 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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