March 27, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Counterstrike | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Turn of Events | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Absam | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gimme Some Mo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rhythm Section | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Walk Up Music | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alonzo Mosely | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ghostlore | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mauro’s Team | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pricing Exercise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | This Ill Defend | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Alpha Dog | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Seven and Seven | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Malibu Edge | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Tough | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Light Cruiser | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miz Chaplin | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Get Khozy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mac | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chit Chat Girl | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marching In | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Milady | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abarrio Forever | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Beast | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crown Real | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gran Champagne | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kuduro | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khattaf | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yankee Empire | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapping | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Street | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apache | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapi Frost | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light Fury | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | First Wave | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gloriously | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Alma | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fuddled (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Giggle Factory | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Elusive | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Borrowed Angel | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Catalina | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mane Attraction | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letter Storm | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Looking for More | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Kantharos | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Boss | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Country Strong | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mia’s Bobtail | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sabina Park | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tong Shu | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Flame Zapper | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Propensity | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rochambeau | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Felix the Fox | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Azrael | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greyes Creek | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Freedom’s Flight | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Gem | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Mountain | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Liberty’s Pursuit | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colliery | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reinoanimaux | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Holy Meister | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Palace Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Castillete | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lapochka | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kahramani | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chase Runner | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Crushem | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Heat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Step Slew | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Krachenwagen | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Frenchmen Street | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Captain Ron | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coop Tries Harder | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Camp Randall | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maniacal | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crosstown Shootout | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Money Moves | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Ratio | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ournationonparade | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soros | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Edge of Fire | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Mister Candy Ride | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Miles Ahead | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saratogian | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Liveyourbeastlife | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sprawl | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Genghis | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Tiger | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aficionado | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Silver Kitten | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bacchanalia | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zarina | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bienville Street | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Out | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rideforthecause | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildlife | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solar Kitten | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take Chargechristy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Unconquered Lea | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gufo | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Lancelot | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ask for Bode | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bless the Kitten | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amends | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Catcher | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Montana Man | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Buy Me Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Prefect | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Fame to Famous | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kid Mercury | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Off the Meds | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.