March 22, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Lofty | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Royale | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Annie | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Within the Law | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nardini | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sherilinda | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donut Girl | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheap Cheap Cheap | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Last Ruler | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rosey Sky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Smiling to Excess | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Wonderfully | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Diva | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indypendent Deputy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twitterati | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chalky (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Semi Sweet | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Audace | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Diablo Rojo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Clutch | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hammering Lemon | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Sparkle | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Billy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Palaleo | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neutrino | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Ability | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaxon’s Goldie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Uncle Ray | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tailback | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bedrock | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Curly | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Ricky | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Conte Cavour | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Speaker | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fabozzi | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Cobra | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Storm | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Erotic | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uno Dancer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Original Intent | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Mind Out | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Storie Blue | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savvy Gal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parkour | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Going to Vegas | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madame Bourbon | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Teachers Big Dream | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shines Her Light (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lucia’s Design | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Almost a Factor | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clivetty | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | K P Dreamin | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dano’s Dream | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jamming Eddy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Can Do This | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | If Id Told You | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canyon Crest | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast as Cass | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nonno’s Polaris | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sensational Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brandothebartender | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lieutenant Dan | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Grazed Me | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stealthediamonds | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wound Tight | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Castle | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Hunted | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grinning Tiger | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tigre Di Slugo | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Loud Mouth | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tap the Wire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Indy Jones | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kidmon | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bird | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Polity | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gryffindor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cross Town | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Derby Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hypersonic | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Parker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.