Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 21, 2020

March 21, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Atlantic Avenue 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Nightmare 2.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Hand Rail 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Sunshine Bay 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 R True Sensation 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Aleda Lutz 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Lady Loose 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Willthisshipsail 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Determined Mission 30.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Documented 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Twirling Liz 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Heraway 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Liz’s Smile 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Yellow Chick 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Falcon’s View 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Terpeye 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Mixways 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stolen Love 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Top Hat Warrior 4.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Smokin Hot Factor 6.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Grimgrinnin’ Ghost 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Sir Douglas 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 A True Gentleman 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Pep Talking 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Algorix 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Iwishiwaspecial 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Prime Time Man 12.00 5.9 11-1
15 15 Truly a Moon Shot 12.00 5.9 11-1
16 16 The Money Train 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Once More Eh 20.00 10.9 21-1
13 13 Banker’s Island 20.00 10.9 21-1
14 14 Good Save 20.00 10.9 21-1
8 8 Shotmaster 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Iam a Dancer 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Trading Cents 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Our Claire Bear 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Miss Cinderella 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Estrella Grande 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Pablo’s Dream 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Go Willow Go 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bullets Child 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Willmakeyouhappy 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Aced 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ziggy Mon 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Revolutionary Road 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Dirtyfoot 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Seismic Jolt 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Tally Mo 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Vee’s Super Star 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Goodluckchuck 3.50 1.3 3-1
13 13 Coast to Coast 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Power Back 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Let Me Ask Bob 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Perfect Heir 8.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Devotion in Motion 8.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 V for Violence 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Junior Jumper 12.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Nonno Pietro 12.00 4.2 8-1
16 16 West Fork 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Little Bay 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Leading Man 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Liar 20.00 6.9 13-1
14 14 Dusky 30.00 10.3 19-1
15 15 Fellow 50.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dorothyfromdublin 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Swirrlie Shirlie 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Northern Heart 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Prank Call 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Big Red Seven 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Prospective Belle 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Crystal Pier 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Joyful Noise 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Plot the Dots 3.00 1 2-1
10A 10 Order for Porky 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Toy 3.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Indy’s Jewel 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Amen Corner 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Twixy Cat 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Golazo 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Paradise Pride 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Confusion Baby Boy 30.00 10 19-1
4 4 Victory Given 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silver Excess 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Annika Gold 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Bird Traffic 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Beautiful Maiden 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Princess Palomar 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Chevy to the Levy 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 War Tweet 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zorally 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cause I’m Edgy 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Getouttamyway 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Phantom Shot 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Doctorsofmischief 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Ujjayi 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Deep Red 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Frigid Sister 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Goodluckjohnathan 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Danz a Rebel 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Kelli’s Smile 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Eastport 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Little Siete 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Mr. Roundtree 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Destruction 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Bear Treasure 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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