March 21, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Philly Special | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | Florado | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Lake Parima | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Formula | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Chouchou de Boo | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
10 | 9 | She Throws Heat | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Malaga | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | More Good Times | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Liam’s Lookout | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Show Maid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Strike Magic | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
12 | 10 | Sense a Million | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
9 | 8 | Noble Enterprise | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
7 | 6 | Gingeronmymind | 20.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Time to Two Step | 0.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | I’m a Rockstar | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Powerful Words | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Gracie’s Dream | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
2 | 2 | Signing Bonus | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | Distinctly Sassy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
5 | 5 | Music City Wolf | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | Aurora Nation | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | What’s to Blame | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
6 | 5 | Sovereign Warrior | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
5 | 4 | Clamor | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Wild One Forever | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Island Tap | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Vita Dolce | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Isle of Man | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
3 | 3 | Blip | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Consilium | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Purecrazidude | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Bambino | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | Mountain Tree | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Bellamy’s Treasure | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | French Quarter | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
9 | 6 | Starship Apollo | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
4 | 3 | Desert General | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Karma King | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
10 | 7 | Charge Card | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 4 | Li’l Meatball | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Year of the Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Valdocco | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Kyle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 5 | Pachanga Party | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Freedom Force | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Quick Step Ed | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Viper | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | W W Candy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Disturbin Bourbon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Shaw | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Celtic Brotherhood | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | West Side Warrior | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Bourbon in May | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Kid Bourbon | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Golden Tapit | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
11 | 10 | Souper Scat Daddy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Shootin the Breeze | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Cable Channel | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
4 | 4 | Carbon Data | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Unlockthepotential | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Blewitt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Resident Liberal | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
2 | 2 | Everyonelovesjames | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
12 | 11 | King Daddy | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | |
13 | 12 | Cool Gizmo | 20.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 | |
10 | 9 | Flawless Bourbon | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
8 | 7 | Tabia | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Fortune Cookie | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Front Loaded | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Champagneonme | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Hard Belle | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Storm Advisory | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Stone Hands | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Glory of Florida | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Melody Of Colors S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Hear My Prayer | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Foolish Humor | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Mrs. Maisel | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Compensate | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Take Charge Eh | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Still Alive | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Silver Tunes | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
6 | 6 | Reggae Revolution | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
1 | 1 | Randiabby | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
8 | 8 | Just Smok’n | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
11 | 11 | Free the Beast | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | I Dare U | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Hopeful Growth | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Reagan’s Edge | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Wanderlust | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | We Miss Susie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Tale of Success | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Mustn’t Grumble | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Texas Glitter S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Another Miracle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Cajun Casanova | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Aye Aye Sir | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Ikeisgreat | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Guildsman (FR) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | R Man Joe | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Rockcrest | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
8 | 8 | Ain’t Wasting Time | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 11 | Tizzarunner | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Bondurant | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Philo | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Cash Call Kitten | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | National Honor | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Great Kahuna | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Toupha | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Bostaleto | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
9 | 9 | Chuckles Candy | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
5 | 5 | Differential | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
1 | 1 | Shidoshi | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.