March 19, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Time to Rome | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Last Nite Out | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don Guillermo | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senator Con | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Guitar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Private Reality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Double Cool | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Fame Feather | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tenpins Tempo | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Fort Polk | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silver Squall | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | New Year’s Party | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Diamond Cutter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Play Unified | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heart River | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belmar Beauty | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Trick | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Callhermrsgelner | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hero of Love | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stop the Friend | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five O’Clock | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Glady’s Team | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Candizar | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | He’s the Souperwon | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Hitter | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rosslare Harbour | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expect Ice | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Little Wise Guy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Fiddle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tom’s Last General | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Napoleon’s Empire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Ace Destroyer | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Undercover Lover | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | There and Back | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Coltonator | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grove Daddy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Cool Quartet | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Papajudgy | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Catalogue | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Evil Lyn | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darling Vera | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cirrusly | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Priceless Nellie | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Belle | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Island | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scary Animal | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Kennedy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Southern Liaison | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sincerity | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storied Trip | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wildabout Audrey | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oretta | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Hopper | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R T’s Duchess | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ericka Rocks | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sienna Breeze | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Morning Molly | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Arabella Bella | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Rosebud’s Hope | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Fortunate Girl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Wings of Dawn | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Decorated Ace | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Mercken | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Russian Mafia | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Quick Quick Quick | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Makeme Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 13 | Tiz Ella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Sheza Mean Broad | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lassie’s Last Hour | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lil Ashley B. | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Breezin Bye You | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Fine Pinot | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Overly Sweet | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little Girls Rule | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crider Chase | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Double Red | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.