Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, March 18, 2020

March 18, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fast Verdict 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Half Again 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Soul Song 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Keys to the Palace 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Gentilly Stage 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Palvera 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Where Y’at Joe Joe 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Madelyn’s Wild Max 2.00 2 4-1
9 9 River Bobcat 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Two Steppin’ Star 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 John’s Luck 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Song N a Cat 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Blue Choice 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Dude Greeley 30.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Lucky Lydgate 30.00 8.7 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Strong Patriot 3.00 1.7 3-1
6 4 Close to Me 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 6 Stealing Sunshine 5.00 2 4-1
7 5 Dragon Dragon 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Angel’s Cut 6.00 3 6-1
5 3 Fashion’s Touch 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Wise Woman 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Flugel Binder 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Salute Elle 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nashtrick 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Cha Vez 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Delp 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Merlin’s Song 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Vincitore 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Ekaterinoslav 6.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Briar Jumper 6.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Eskendereyas Dream 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Applewood 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Confederate Yell 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Square the Circle 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Al Taweel 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Dickinson’s Image 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Honor My Speed 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Drunken Fridays 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Odyssey Explorer 12.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Half Trick 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Balook 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Aly’s Charm 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Guilty Lady 5.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Party With Kassidy 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Custom Gulch 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 The Missing Piece 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Our Sweet Daisy 20.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Grand Isle Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Super Salad 20.00 10 19-1
8 8 Run By 20.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Go My Juliet 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ain’t No Elmers 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Sconsin 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 American Legend 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Summers Hope 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hailey’s Day 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Halama 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Bet Your Bankroll 8.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Parlor 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Moon Colony 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Another Mystery 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Skywire 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Tell Your Daddy 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 My Bariley 8.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Clint Maroon (GB) 8.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Say the Word 8.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Sonneteer 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Hideaway Hero 2.50 2 4-1
1A 6 Captain Tyree 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 2 Dutchman 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 4 Beauty Boy 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 3 Outofthisgalaxy 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Shaniko’s Secret 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 5 Cameron Rules 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 8 Flashy Image 15.00 8.2 16-1
1 5 Lip Service 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Cajun Cash 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Boston Bob 20.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement providesĀ no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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