March 13, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shell Beach Party | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | De Pura Sangre | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crack of Dawn | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fernanda | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmys Lass | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blame the Storm | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pazyarmonia | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miriana’s Queen | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tortola Pride | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Septemberten | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Idol | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parkland Strong | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Odds It’s Real | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honor This | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blue Blue Ice | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sabina Park | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Again | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa’s Little Girl | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Kantharos | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tong Shu | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jeana’s Gem | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Ami | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amadora | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empire Moon | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bernie’s Mistress | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asyena | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sea Anna Dream | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancified | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Beautiful Day | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Polished Copper | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gravel Gertie | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Run | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toned Up | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Josefa | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Positive Power | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Boss Lady | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Frank First | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Plato | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Northbrook | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Causalistic | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five of Hearts | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | First Rate | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Princess Carrigan | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Secret Miss | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Foxy Lady | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Two Cents Worth | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kerry It | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Onezy’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Hot Drama | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Marva | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Memorize | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tuesday’s Rose | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Baby Ice | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gilda F. | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Maiara | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shall Return | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Salsa Rita | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Heiress | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Si Te Vas | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Candy Money | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ghostly Beauty | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Much About It | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Sassy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Faith N Hope | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Chauffeur | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joyous Times | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yolanda’s Pride | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Rusia | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Scat | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Interest | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Days of Spring | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Just a Bit Sassy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kisses for Tizzy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Do It My Way | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss My Macho | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Babybel | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.