Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 12, 2020

March 12, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Willow Ridge 20.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Chief of Staff 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Louden’s Gray 15.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bajan Cash 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 R Fast Life 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 You’re Killin Me 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Lewys Vaporizer 2.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dealin’ Stelen 12.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Georgia Deputy 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Mutineer 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bookie’s Blues 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Honoring Major 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Colonel Talbot 2.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Baquero Flies 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Please the Court 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Addi 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Elusive Ride 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Unburnt 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Broadway Burn 10.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Magically Honored 10.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Austin’s Gal 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Dawdle 3.00 1.7 3-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mischievous Dancer 15.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Virga 8.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Plumbago 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Monday Confession 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Roaring Rule 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 St. Louie Guy 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Big Sport 3.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Bar Stool Budget 6.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Park Ridge Benny 15.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Wicked Indeed 6.00 0.3 1-1
7 6 Box of Chocolates 4.50 0.7 1-1
6 5 Jack Van Berg 10.00 1 2-1
3 2 Haydens Havoc 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Speaker Van 30.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Morning Snow 2.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Hidden Ruler 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Esther 12.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Many Sweet Treats 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Guest in My Heart 20.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Pulpit’s Princess 15.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Lori’s Eyes 5.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Five Queens 15.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Arkansas Invasion 12.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Lil Tater 2.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Dixie Cat 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dat Girl 4.50 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Racer 15.00 0.8 2-1
7 7 Bandit Point 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Five O One 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Rock City Roadhog 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Marvelous Thunder 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 J. E.’s Handmedown 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Hoonani Road 1.60 7.7 15-1
8 8 Weast Hill 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fire Coral 2.50 1.1 2-1
9 8 Back in Charge 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Turnstone 20.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Piece of My Heart 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Seahawk Lisa 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Jilted Bride 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 She’s All Wolfe 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Charming Lady 3.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Queen Bridget 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arrowsphere 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Angel of Dreams 20.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Swiss Dot 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Tickle Bunny 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Abby in Pink 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Frozen Hannah 3.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Honor With Pride 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Weneedtotalk 3.50 6.9 13-1
10 10 Button Mushroom 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mostly Awesome 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bendi Blu 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Expressly 10.00 11.1 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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