Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, March 11, 2020

March 11, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Storm the Bridge 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Alaskan 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cajun Encounter 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Super Intense 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 8 Mozano 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Gangster of Love 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 7 Jack Beanstalk 10.00 5.4 10-1
12 9 Elite Mission 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Last Jet Out 30.00 9 17-1
4 4 Jefe Grande 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Big City Ralph 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Mr Impressive 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 No No Nina 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Bucky’s Drama 1.80 2.5 5-1
2 2 Saucy Tune 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Trevess 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Kayla’s Tune 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Arch Flyer 10.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dynadrive 1.60 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bad Beat Brian 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Danzing Dunhill 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Montana Man 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 I’m More Ready 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Deckology 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Proprioception 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Irish Thunder 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Kozy Dreams 2.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Princess Avril 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Miranda Sofia 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Nationalist 10.00 5 10-1
7 7 Awesomenewyear 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boss Life 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Thenorthremembers 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 Bebeau 3.50 3 6-1
7 5 Rags for Britches 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Punchline 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sir Chubby 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Heirloom Kitten 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Samoa 1.00 2 4-1
3 2 Looking for More 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Mia Angelina 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Southern Toddy 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Kaufy Futures 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Olivia’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gambler’s Fallacy 2.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Cause for Pardon 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Solar 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Im the Captain Now 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Roddick 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 My Brothersledge 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Third Army 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Maryland Pride 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Aequor 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Song River 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 6 Cucina 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 3 Dancing Destroyer 6.00 4 8-1
7 5 Freezer Burn 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Deo Forte 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Flash Pass 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Man With a Plan 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 The Virginian 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Gemo 4.50 2 4-1
8 6 Ricki Ticki Taffi 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 Iberico 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 2 Beyond Gone 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 3 Assertiko 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 Baby Brother 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 4 Maserati Man 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Mobeatyabad 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mind Your Own Biz 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Aerodynamic 0.60 3.1 6-1
3 3 Funny Feather 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Raspberry Ballet 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Princesa Crystal (GB) 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Wild About This 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bit Coin Queen 15.00 5.6 10-1
10 9 Letsnotgetoexcited 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Always Lucky 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Little Evy 30.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Tapizar Girl 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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