Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 8, 2020

March 8, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Halo City 1.00 2 4-1
1A 1 High Opinion 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Tonal Vision 2.50 2.3 4-1
7A 7 Dare to Try 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Sky Queen 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Wishes and Dreams 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lady Mechanic 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Venus Oyzo 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Friend of Liberty 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Zecha 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Malibu Mischief 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Orchid Party 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Offlee Irish 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Nowitna River 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Jacqueline D 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Princess Mikayah 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Espresso Shot 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Crimson Frost 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Newly Minted 0.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 No Hayne No Gayne 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Happycrest 50.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Abounding Joy 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 7 Deja Raconte 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 4 Rousey 6.00 2.4 5-1
12 8 Vitanza 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 2 Pendolino 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 1 Angels and Us 20.00 SCRATCH
10 6 Funderella 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Sweet Breeze 50.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Lovely Escort 15.00 5 10-1
1 1 Sander’s Empire 20.00 SCRATCH
9 5 Golden Slumbers 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 1 Firestormy 50.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Eighty Seven North 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dirty Bird 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Its a Chance 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Ma Meatloaf 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tiz a Kitten 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Appletini 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Miss Hot Stones 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Tequila Sunday 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Evan’s Nice Now 30.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ocean Conquest 50.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Mr Wonderful 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 8 Daithi 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Papa Tom B 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Implied Volatility 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 3 Beta 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 Talespin 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Well in Tune 30.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Da Alpha 50.00 8 15-1
3 2 Freudian Analyst 50.00 8 15-1
2 2 Plebe 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Neighborhood Bully 50.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Mo Diddley 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 2 Blue Belt 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 6 Moneymeister 8.00 3.2 6-1
11 8 Saratoga Giro 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Javelin 6.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Massey Hall 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 5 Brimstone 20.00 5 10-1
7 7 Scarf It Down 5.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Proud Enough 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Laura’s Posse 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aunt Babe 2.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Sadie Lady 1.40 1.6 3-1
2 2 Excess Capacity 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Palomita 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Quasar 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Can U Handle This 30.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Trans Mississippi 30.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Touch of Nirvana 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 My Sweet Kat 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Night Orchid 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Annoula 8.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 Big Red Girl 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Happy Hill Lil 12.00 4.4 8-1
13 12 Menzamenz 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Empress Luciana 20.00 5.6 11-1
8A 7 Mad for Fame 30.00 8.1 15-1
10A 9 Maybe a Rainbow 30.00 8.2 16-1
9 8 Idaka 50.00 9 17-1
1 1 Musical Thunder 50.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Eye’m Gone 50.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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