March 8, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Halo City | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 1 | High Opinion | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tonal Vision | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Dare to Try | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Queen | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wishes and Dreams | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mechanic | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Venus Oyzo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Friend of Liberty | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zecha | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Mischief | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orchid Party | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Offlee Irish | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nowitna River | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jacqueline D | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mikayah | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Espresso Shot | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Frost | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Newly Minted | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Hayne No Gayne | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Happycrest | 50.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abounding Joy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Deja Raconte | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rousey | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Vitanza | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Pendolino | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Angels and Us | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Funderella | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Breeze | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Lovely Escort | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sander’s Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Golden Slumbers | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Firestormy | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eighty Seven North | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dirty Bird | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Its a Chance | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ma Meatloaf | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Kitten | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Appletini | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Hot Stones | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Sunday | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evan’s Nice Now | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Conquest | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mr Wonderful | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Daithi | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Papa Tom B | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Implied Volatility | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beta | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Talespin | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Da Alpha | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Freudian Analyst | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plebe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neighborhood Bully | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mo Diddley | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blue Belt | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Moneymeister | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Saratoga Giro | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Javelin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Massey Hall | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Brimstone | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scarf It Down | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Proud Enough | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Laura’s Posse | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Babe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Sadie Lady | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excess Capacity | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palomita | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quasar | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Can U Handle This | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trans Mississippi | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Touch of Nirvana | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sweet Kat | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Orchid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Annoula | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Big Red Girl | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Happy Hill Lil | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Menzamenz | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Empress Luciana | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Mad for Fame | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Maybe a Rainbow | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Idaka | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Thunder | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eye’m Gone | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.