March 7, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Colombian Gold | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sunriser | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Olive You More | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Give Up | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Journal Entry | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flamigo Bay (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wine At Sunset | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Drive | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diva in Charge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Danceformunny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Code | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Believe Now | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Fury | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beachcombing | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Mischief | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Still in the Game | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polar Wind | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arch Ability | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drop the Chalupa | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Affianced | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Miss Moppet | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Navetta | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocking Redhead | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Drama | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Silk | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bristol Bayou | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Woke Up to Aces | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Constantia | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nurse Goodbody | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Gigi | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Moonhall Milly (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Happy Tune | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stopped Raining | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Carlos S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roadster | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flagstaff | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McKale | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St. Joe Bay | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manhattan Up | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Law Abidin Citizen | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Frontier Market | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Valour (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River Boyne (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Next Shares | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ohio (BRZ) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got Stormy | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sellwood | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingly | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sash (GB) | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gamine | 0.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reem | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Addie Pray | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Blend | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Lady | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – China Doll S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stela Star (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Vita | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Bird (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beguiled | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triana (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warren’s Showtime | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Lark (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Abby Hatcher (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Homehome | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carpe Vinum | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Guitty (FR) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sherilinda | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Felipe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honor A. P. | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm the Court | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Authentic | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thousand Words | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wrecking Crew | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fort McHenry | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swagsational | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Muchly (GB) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Peter’s Kitten | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dupioni (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courteous | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heathers Grey | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Gray | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kalliniki | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Absolutely Perfect | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prima Valentina | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Our Charm | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lavender (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Legend Emma (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Silken Spy | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Santa Anita H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midcourt | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Endorsed | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hofburg | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Combatant | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Thirty Five | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Multiplier | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brown Storm (CHI) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gift Box | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quick (GB) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thriving (GB) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anonymously | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen of the Track | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ellie Arroway | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Posit | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Querelle | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tijori | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grinningeartoear | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drift Away | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mariah Girl (ARG) | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Truffles | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Constitutionaffair | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speakerofthehouse | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Journey | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ziyanair | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rough Ride | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Headed Baby | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Easy Way | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time N Money | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nil Phet | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.